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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12
Nov 30, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Moreirense

Rio Ave
3 - 2
Moreirense

Morais (26'), Clayton (46'), Vrousai (90+4')
Neto (67'), Mahgoub (90'), Mahgoub (90+5'), Vrousai (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Aderlan (49' og.), Gabrielzinho (65')
Ramos (38'), Schettine (80'), Marcelo (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alverca 2-2 Rio Ave (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, November 23 at 2pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Moreirense 2-1 Porto
Sunday, November 24 at 5pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Rio Ave 1-1 Moreirense

Fresh off the back of reaching the fifth round of the Taca de Portugal, Rio Ave and Moreirense head into this with high spirits and will be looking to keep the juggernaut rolling. However, both sides are evenly matched on paper and we predict they will cancel out each other's efforts.  Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 27.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.

Result
Rio AveDrawMoreirense
45.83% (-0.262 -0.26) 26.74% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 27.43% (0.214 0.21)
Both teams to score 48.68% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.2% (-0.055 -0.05)55.8% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.07% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)76.93% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.7% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)24.3% (0.149 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.32% (-0.213 -0.21)58.68% (0.21299999999999 0.21)
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.3% (0.14500000000001 0.15)35.7% (-0.145 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.53% (0.149 0.15)72.47% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Rio Ave 45.83%
    Moreirense 27.43%
    Draw 26.74%
Rio AveDrawMoreirense
1-0 @ 12.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.68% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.22% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.09% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 45.83%
1-1 @ 12.64% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.67% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 8.94% (0.054 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.51% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.6% (0.046 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.24% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.58% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 27.43%

How you voted: Rio Ave vs Moreirense

Rio Ave
46.7%
Draw
46.7%
Moreirense
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Jul 13, 2024 10.30am
Club Friendlies 3
Rio Ave
1-2
Moreirense
Ronaldo (15')
Madson (26'), Castro (45')
Mar 2, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 24
Moreirense
0-0
Rio Ave
Silva (54')
Sa (90')
Oct 1, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 7
Rio Ave
0-4
Moreirense

Rodrigues (21'), Pantalon (26'), Costinha (33')
Silva (8'), Camacho (18', 50'), Madson (82')
Luis (43'), Alan (53'), Franco (77'), Madson (83'), Wallisson (85')
Mar 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 23
Moreirense
1-1
Rio Ave
Pires (83')
Soares (15'), Camara (15')
Soares (7' og.)
Camacho (15'), Geraldes (42'), Pinto (82'), Augusto (90')
Oct 31, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 6
Rio Ave
2-0
Moreirense
Piazon (14', 83' pen.)
Pele (40')

Pacheco (20'), Ferraresi (32'), Soares (57'), Vitoria (80')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1211013963333
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara128041512324
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao124531311217
8MoreirenseMoreirense125251717017
9Rio AveRio Ave124351322-915
10Casa Pia113441014-413
11Estoril PraiaEstoril123451017-713
12Gil Vicente112451419-510
13BoavistaBoavista12246715-810
14AVS11245919-1010
15Nacional11236615-99
16Estrela Amadora122371021-119
17SC FarenseFarense12228618-128
18AroucaArouca11227619-138


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