Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12

Nov 30, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Rio Ave
3 - 2
Moreirense

Morais (26'), Clayton (46'), Vrousai (90+4')
Neto (67'), Mahgoub (90'), Mahgoub (90+5'), Vrousai (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Aderlan (49' og.), Gabrielzinho (65')
Ramos (38'), Schettine (80'), Marcelo (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Alverca 2-2 Rio Ave (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, November 23 at 2pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Moreirense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Moreirense 2-1 Porto
Sunday, November 24 at 5pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 27.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.

Result
Rio Ave	Draw	Moreirense
45.83% ( -0.26)	26.74% ( 0.05)	27.43% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 48.68% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.2% (

-0.05)

55.8% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.07% (

-0.05)

76.93% (

0.05)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.7% (

-0.15)

24.3% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.32% (

-0.21)

58.68% (

0.21)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.3% (

0.15)

35.7% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.53% (

0.15)

72.47% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Rio Ave 45.83%

Moreirense 27.43%

Draw 26.74%

Rio Ave	Draw	Moreirense
1-0 @ 12.27% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.51% Total : 45.83%	1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.74%	0-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.99% Total : 27.43%