Taca de Portugal
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-
Angel di Maria
2'
-
Angel di Maria
5'
-
Angel di Maria
18'
-
Kerem Akturkoglu
59'
-
Benjamin Rollheiser
74'
-
Zeki Amdouni
81'
-
Arthur Cabral
86'
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Arthur Cabral
90'
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Guilherme Montoia
41'
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Diogo Martins Travassos
63'
Benfica vs Estrela Amadora - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 85.22%. A draw had a probability of 9.9% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 4.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 4-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.58%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-2 (1.58%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result
Benfica
85.22%
▼
(-0.94)
Draw
9.88%
▲
(+0.41)
Estrela Amadora
4.91%
▲
(+0.54)
Both Teams to Score:
47.68%
▲
(+2.79)
Goals
Over 2.5
74.17%
▲
(+0.92)
Under 2.5
25.83%
▼
(-0.92)
Over 3.5
54%
▲
(+1.18)
Under 3.5
46%
▼
(-1.18)
Over 4.5
34.51%
▲
(+1.13)
Under 4.5
65.49%
▼
(-1.13)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5
95.83%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
4.17%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
82.59%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
17.41%
▼
(-0.02)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5
49.76%
▲
(+2.91)
Under 0.5
50.24%
▼
(-2.91)
Over 1.5
15.18%
▲
(+1.92)
Under 1.5
84.82%
▼
(-1.92)
Score analysis
Benfica
85.21%
Draw
9.88%
Estrela Amadora
4.91%
Benfica
3-0
@
11.19%
▼
(-0.66)
2-0 @ 10.57% ▼ (-0.61)
4-0 @ 8.9% ▼ (-0.51)
3-1 @ 7.71% ▲ (+0.22)
2-1 @ 7.28% ▲ (+0.21)
1-0 @ 6.65% ▼ (-0.40)
4-1 @ 6.13% ▲ (+0.18)
5-0 @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.33)
5-1 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.12)
6-0 @ 3% ▼ (-0.17)
3-2 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.29)
4-2 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.23)
6-1 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.07)
7-0 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.08)
5-2 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 4.72%
Total : 85.21%
2-0 @ 10.57% ▼ (-0.61)
4-0 @ 8.9% ▼ (-0.51)
3-1 @ 7.71% ▲ (+0.22)
2-1 @ 7.28% ▲ (+0.21)
1-0 @ 6.65% ▼ (-0.40)
4-1 @ 6.13% ▲ (+0.18)
5-0 @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.33)
5-1 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.12)
6-0 @ 3% ▼ (-0.17)
3-2 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.29)
4-2 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.23)
6-1 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.07)
7-0 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.08)
5-2 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 4.72%
Total : 85.21%
Draw
1-1
@
4.58%
▲
(+0.13)
2-2 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.27)
0-0 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 9.88%
2-2 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.27)
0-0 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 9.88%
Estrela Amadora
1-2
@
1.58%
▲
(+0.17)
0-1 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 4.91%
0-1 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 4.91%
Head to Head
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
3
-
Orkun Kokcu
19'
-
Orkun Kokcu
34'
-
Alvaro Fernandez
36'
-
Tiago Gouveia
59'
-
Renato Sanches
90'+6'
-
Andre Luiz
36'
-
Caio dos Santos Santana
72'
-
Leo Cordeiro
87'
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
19
-
Leo Jaba
28'
-
Regis N'do
45'+2'
-
Regis N'do
71'
-
Angel di Maria
41'
-
Arthur Cabral
44'
-
Rafa Silva
45'+1'
-
Nicolas Otamendi
52'
-
Marcos Leonardo
90'+3'
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
2
-
Joao Neves
37'
-
Joao Mario
44'
-
Arthur Cabral
50'
-
Casper Tengstedt
79'
-
Rafa Silva
90'+3'
-
Joneston Omorwa
11'
-
Mansur
55'
-
Hevertton Ciriaco Santos
90'+6'
Taca da Liga
-
Joao Silva
22'
-
Gustavo Rodrigues
90'+5'
-
Petar Musa
13'
-
Chiquinho
29'
-
Julian Draxler
90'