MX23RW : Thursday, December 5 00:43:17| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11
Nov 10, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Gomes
Nacional

Estrela Amadora
2 - 0
Nacional

Daniel Valente Moreira (77'), Kikas (86')
Ferro (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Esteves (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nacional 2-0 Santa Clara
Monday, November 4 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estrela Amadora 1-2 Nacional

The hosts suffered a humiliating 5-1 loss last time out, while the visitors will be high on confidence following their 2-0 win, and we expect that to help Nacional secure another win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estrela Amadora would win this match.

Result
Estrela AmadoraDrawNacional
44.3% (1.044 1.04) 26.64% (0.266 0.27) 29.06% (-1.313 -1.31)
Both teams to score 49.98% (-1.49 -1.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.39% (-1.597 -1.6)54.61% (1.596 1.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.05% (-1.343 -1.34)75.95% (1.342 1.34)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.48% (-0.19 -0.19)24.52% (0.191 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.02% (-0.26799999999999 -0.27)58.98% (0.269 0.27)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.22% (-1.801 -1.8)33.79% (1.8 1.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.55% (-2.001 -2)70.45% (2 2)
Score Analysis
    Estrela Amadora 44.3%
    Nacional 29.06%
    Draw 26.63%
Estrela AmadoraDrawNacional
1-0 @ 11.64% (0.65 0.65)
2-1 @ 8.88% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.19% (0.41 0.41)
3-1 @ 4.16% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.84% (0.173 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.122 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.46% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.35% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 44.3%
1-1 @ 12.63% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.28% (0.502 0.5)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.232 -0.23)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.63%
0-1 @ 8.99% (0.119 0.12)
1-2 @ 6.86% (-0.29 -0.29)
0-2 @ 4.88% (-0.178 -0.18)
1-3 @ 2.48% (-0.235 -0.24)
0-3 @ 1.76% (-0.157 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.176 -0.18)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 29.06%

How you voted: Estrela Amadora vs Nacional

Estrela Amadora
37.1%
Draw
25.7%
Nacional
37.1%
35
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1211013963333
2Porto1210023082230
3Benfica119113072328
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara128041512324
5Braga127232011923
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes126331611521
7FamalicaoFamalicao124531311217
8MoreirenseMoreirense125251717017
9Rio AveRio Ave124351322-915
10Casa Pia123451016-613
11Estoril PraiaEstoril123451017-713
12BoavistaBoavista12246715-810
13Gil Vicente122461423-910
14AVS12246920-1110
15Nacional11236615-99
16Estrela Amadora122371021-119
17SC FarenseFarense12228618-128
18AroucaArouca12228621-158


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