/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fbaylog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fbenlog.png)
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Jamal Musiala
67'
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Jamal Musiala
73'
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Issa Kabore
26'
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Orkun Kokcu
71'
Bayern Munich vs Benfica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F37%2Fvincent-kompany.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 46.52%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result
Bayern Munich
46.52%
▼
(-0.35)
Draw
23.91%
▲
(+0.06)
Benfica
29.57%
▲
(+0.30)
Both Teams to Score:
59.13%
▲
(+0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.19%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 2.5
42.8%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 3.5
34.79%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 3.5
65.21%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 4.5
18.11%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 4.5
81.89%
▲
(+0.05)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5
81.41%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 0.5
18.59%
▲
(+0.17)
Over 1.5
50.13%
▼
(-0.28)
Under 1.5
49.87%
▲
(+0.28)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5
72.63%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 0.5
27.36%
▼
(-0.17)
Over 1.5
37.17%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 1.5
62.83%
▼
(-0.22)
Score analysis
Bayern Munich
46.52%
Draw
23.91%
Benfica
29.57%
Bayern Munich
2-1
@
9.33%
▼
(-0.03)
1-0 @ 8.56% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.2% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 5.23% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 46.52%
1-0 @ 8.56% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.2% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 5.23% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 46.52%
Draw
1-1
@
11.09%
▲
(+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.05% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.91%
2-2 @ 6.05% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.91%
Benfica
1-2
@
7.19%
▲
(+0.05)
0-1 @ 6.59% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.01% ▼ (-98.00)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 29.57%
0-1 @ 6.59% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.01% ▼ (-98.00)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 29.57%