Champions League

Champions League | League Stage

Nov 6, 2024 at 8.15pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
1 - 0
Benfica

Musiala (67')
Musiala (73')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kabore (26'), Kokcu (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Bayern Munich and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Bayern 3-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, November 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Benfica

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Farense 1-2 Benfica
Saturday, November 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 46.52%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Benfica
46.52% ( -0.35)	23.91% ( 0.05)	29.57% ( 0.3)

Both teams to score 59.13% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.19% (

-0.07)

42.8% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.79% (

-0.06)

65.21% (

0.06)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.41% (

-0.17)

18.59% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.13% (

-0.28)

49.87% (

0.28)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.63% (

0.16)

27.36% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.17% (

0.21)

62.83% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 46.52%

Benfica 29.57%

Draw 23.91%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Benfica
2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.45% Total : 46.52%	1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.91%	1-2 @ 7.19% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.95% Total : 29.57%