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Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Nov 2, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Union Berlin logo

Bayern
3 - 0
Union Berlin

Kane (15' pen., 51'), Coman (43')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Kemlein (31'), Khedira (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 0-4 Bayern
Wednesday, October 30 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Bayern Munich 2-0 Union Berlin

Despite their impressive defensive record, it is difficult to see how Union Berlin can keep Bayern Munich from scoring on Saturday given the hosts' rampant offensive displays this season. If the visitors were to concede first, it would not be surprising if they struggled to create many chances given their poor showings in the final third this term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 74.06%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 9.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.21%) and 3-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawUnion Berlin
74.06% (-0.274 -0.27) 16.18% (0.182 0.18) 9.75% (0.09 0.09)
Both teams to score 48.09% (-0.302 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.17% (-0.585 -0.59)38.83% (0.581 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.86% (-0.61799999999999 -0.62)61.14% (0.615 0.62)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91% (-0.20699999999999 -0.21)8.99% (0.205 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.34% (-0.499 -0.5)30.66% (0.495 0.5)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.84% (-0.212 -0.21)47.16% (0.209 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.39% (-0.162 -0.16)82.6% (0.158 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 74.05%
    Union Berlin 9.75%
    Draw 16.18%
Bayern MunichDrawUnion Berlin
2-0 @ 12.3% (0.11 0.11)
1-0 @ 10.21% (0.18 0.18)
3-0 @ 9.88% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.43% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-0 @ 5.95% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-1 @ 4.47% (-0.074 -0.07)
5-0 @ 2.87% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-1 @ 2.15% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.68% (-0.038 -0.04)
6-0 @ 1.15% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 74.05%
1-1 @ 7.68% (0.093 0.09)
0-0 @ 4.24% (0.115 0.12)
2-2 @ 3.48% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 16.18%
0-1 @ 3.19% (0.069 0.07)
1-2 @ 2.89% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.2% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 9.75%

How you voted: Bayern vs Union Berlin

Bayern Munich
87.1%
Draw
9.4%
Union Berlin
3.5%
85
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 30
Union Berlin
1-5
Bayern
Vertessen (90')
Bjelica (45+1')
Goretzka (29'), Kane (45+1'), Muller (53', 66'), Tel (61')
Jan 24, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 13
Bayern
1-0
Union Berlin
Guerreiro (46')
Sane (74'), Kane (90+5')

Behrens (48'), Haberer (90+5'), Vogt (90+5'), Leite (90+5')
Bjelica (74')
Feb 26, 2023 4.30pm
Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Union Berlin
1-1
Bayern
Becker (12')
Khedira (87')
Kimmich (15')
Kimmich (26'), Gravenberch (72')
Mar 19, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 27
Bayern
4-0
Union Berlin
Coman (16'), Kouassi (25'), Lewandowski (45+1' pen., 47')
Musiala (51'), Kouassi (74')

Baumgartl (39')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern129303782930
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1282231161526
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen126512819923
4RB Leipzig126331914521
5Borussia DortmundDortmund126242319420
6Stuttgart135532623320
7Freiburg126241616020
8Mainz 05Mainz125432014619
9Wolfsburg125342519618
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach125251817117
11Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
12Werder Bremen124441924-516
13Augsburg124351423-915
14Hoffenheim123361724-712
15St Pauli123271015-511
16Heidenheim123181524-910
17Holstein Kiel121291331-185
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1202101033-232


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