Bundesliga Gameweek 9
Bayern
Nov 2, 2024 2.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Arena
Union Berlin
  • Harry Kane 15' goal
  • Kingsley Coman 43' goal
  • Harry Kane 51' goal
  • yellowcard Aljoscha Kemlein 31'
  • yellowcard Rani Khedira 84'

Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Last game
Oct 27, 2024 2.30pm
VfL Bochum 0 - 5 Bayern
Goals scored
99
Top scorer
Harry Kane

Union Berlin

All competitions
Last game
Oct 27, 2024 4.30pm
Union Berlin 1 - 1 Frankfurt
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Benedict Hollerbach

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 74.06%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 9.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.21%) and 3-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result

Bayern Munich 74.06% ▼ (-0.28)
Draw 16.18% ▲ (+0.19)
Union Berlin 9.75% ▲ (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.09% ▼ (-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.17% ▼ (-0.59)
Under 2.5 38.83% ▲ (+0.59)
Over 3.5 38.86% ▼ (-0.62)
Under 3.5 61.14% ▲ (+0.62)
Over 4.5 21.23% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 4.5 78.77% ▲ (+0.49)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 91% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 0.5 8.99% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 1.5 69.34% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 1.5 30.66% ▲ (+0.50)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5 52.84% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 0.5 47.16% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 1.5 17.39% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 1.5 82.6% ▲ (+0.16)

Score analysis

Bayern Munich 74.05%
Draw 16.18%
Union Berlin 9.75%
Bayern Munich
2-0 @ 12.3% ▲ (+0.12)
1-0 @ 10.21% ▲ (+0.19)
3-0 @ 9.88% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.25% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 7.43% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 5.95% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.08)
5-0 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.04)
5-1 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.04)
6-0 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 74.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.68% ▲ (+0.10)
0-0 @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 16.18%
Union Berlin
0-1 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.07)
1-2 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 9.75%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 30
Union Berlin
Apr 20, 2024 5.30pm
1
5
HT : 0 2
FT Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Bayern
  • Nenad Bjelica 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Yorbe Vertessen 90' goal
  • goal Leon Goretzka 29'
  • goal Harry Kane 45'+1'
  • goal Thomas Muller 53'
  • goal Mathys Tel 61'
  • goal Thomas Muller 66'
Bundesliga Gameweek 13
Bayern
Jan 24, 2024 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Arena
Union Berlin
  • Raphael Guerreiro 46' goal
  • Leroy Sane 74' yellowcard
  • Harry Kane 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Behrens 48'
  • redcard Nenad Bjelica 74'
  • yellowcard Janik Haberer 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Kevin Vogt 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Diogo Leite 90'+5'
Bundesliga Gameweek 22
Bayern
Feb 26, 2023 4.30pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
Union Berlin
  • Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 31' goal
  • Kingsley Coman 40' goal
  • Jamal Musiala 45'+1' goal
Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Union Berlin
Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Bayern
  • Sheraldo Becker 12' goal
  • Rani Khedira 87' yellowcard
  • goal Joshua Kimmich 15'
  • yellowcard Joshua Kimmich 26'
  • yellowcard Ryan Gravenberch 72'
Bundesliga Gameweek 27
Bayern
Mar 19, 2022 5.30pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT
Union Berlin
  • Kingsley Coman 16' goal
  • Tanguy Kouassi 25' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 45'+1' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 47' goal
  • Jamal Musiala 51' yellowcard
  • Tanguy Kouassi 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Timo Baumgartl 39'
Bundesliga Gameweek 10
Union Berlin
Oct 30, 2021 2.30pm
2
5
HT : 1 3
FT
Bayern
  • Paul Jaeckel 15' yellowcard
  • Niko Giesselmann 43' goal
  • Julian Ryerson 65' goal
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 15'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 23'
  • yellowcard Niklas Sule 30'
  • goal Leroy Sane 35'
  • goal Kingsley Coman 61'
  • goal Thomas Muller 79'

Form Data

Mainz 0 - 4 Bayern
VfL Bochum 0 - 5 Bayern
Barcelona 4 - 1 Bayern
Bayern 4 - 0 Stuttgart
Frankfurt 3 - 3 Bayern
Aston Villa 1 - 0 Bayern
Arminia Bielefeld 2 - 0 Union Berlin
Union Berlin 1 - 1 Frankfurt
Holstein Kiel 0 - 2 Union Berlin
Union Berlin 2 - 1 Dortmund
Borussia M'bach 1 - 0 Union Berlin
Union Berlin 2 - 1 Hoffenheim