Home > Football > Bundesliga
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 74.06%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 9.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.21%) and 3-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | Union Berlin |
74.06% ( -0.27) | 16.18% ( 0.18) | 9.75% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 48.09% ( -0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.17% ( -0.59) | 38.83% ( 0.58) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.86% ( -0.62) | 61.14% ( 0.62) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91% ( -0.21) | 8.99% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.34% ( -0.5) | 30.66% ( 0.5) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.84% ( -0.21) | 47.16% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.39% ( -0.16) | 82.6% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | Union Berlin |
2-0 @ 12.3% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 10.21% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.94% Total : 74.05% | 1-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.78% Total : 16.18% | 0-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.48% Total : 9.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 37 | 8 | 29 | 30 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 26 |
3 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 23 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 21 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Stuttgart | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 20 |
7 | Freiburg | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 |
8 | Mainz 05Mainz | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 19 |
9 | Wolfsburg | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 18 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 17 |
11 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Augsburg | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 12 |
15 | St Pauli | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 31 | -18 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 33 | -23 | 2 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |