Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 9

Nov 2, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
3 - 0
Union Berlin

Kane (15' pen., 51'), Coman (43')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Kemlein (31'), Khedira (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Mainz 0-4 Bayern
Wednesday, October 30 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Top scorers

Union Berlin

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Arminia Bielefeld 2-0 Union Berlin
Wednesday, October 30 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 74.06%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 9.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.21%) and 3-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Union Berlin
74.06% ( -0.27)	16.18% ( 0.18)	9.75% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 48.09% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.17% (

-0.59)

38.83% (

0.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.86% (

-0.62)

61.14% (

0.62)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91% (

-0.21)

8.99% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.34% (

-0.5)

30.66% (

0.5)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.84% (

-0.21)

47.16% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.39% (

-0.16)

82.6% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 74.05%

Union Berlin 9.75%

Draw 16.18%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Union Berlin
2-0 @ 12.3% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 10.21% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.94% Total : 74.05%	1-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.78% Total : 16.18%	0-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.48% Total : 9.75%