Arminia Bielefeld logos
DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Oct 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
SchucoArena
Union Berlin logo

Arminia Bielefeld
2 - 0
Union Berlin

Worl (12'), Becker (71')
Sarenren Bazee (76'), Becker (81'), Worl (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hollerbach (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Arminia Bielefeld and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arminia Bielefeld

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Arminia Bielefeld 2-0 Hannover
Saturday, August 17 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Union Berlin

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Union Berlin 1-1 Frankfurt
Sunday, October 27 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arminia Bielefeld win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arminia Bielefeld would win this match.

Result
Arminia BielefeldDrawUnion Berlin
41.63% (1.655 1.66)26.42% (-0.392 -0.39)31.95% (-1.263 -1.26)
Both teams to score 51.97% (0.85 0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.33% (1.262 1.26)52.67% (-1.259 -1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.69% (1.069 1.07)74.31% (-1.066 -1.07)
Arminia Bielefeld Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75% (1.453 1.45)24.99% (-1.45 -1.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.35% (1.972 1.97)59.65% (-1.97 -1.97)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.29% (-0.211 -0.21)30.71% (0.213 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.03% (-0.251 -0.25)66.96% (0.253 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Arminia Bielefeld 41.63%
    Union Berlin 31.95%
    Draw 26.41%
Arminia BielefeldDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 10.64% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.71% (0.239 0.24)
2-0 @ 7.38% (0.244 0.24)
3-1 @ 4.03% (0.27 0.27)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.247 0.25)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.146 0.15)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.147 0.15)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.13 0.13)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 41.63%
1-1 @ 12.56% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-0 @ 7.68% (-0.389 -0.39)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.111 0.11)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.41%
0-1 @ 9.06% (-0.516 -0.52)
1-2 @ 7.42% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-2 @ 5.35% (-0.338 -0.34)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 31.95%

How you voted: Arminia Bielefeld vs Union Berlin

Arminia Bielefeld
23.5%
Draw
11.8%
Union Berlin
64.7%
34
Head to Head
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Gameweek 24
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