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Bundesliga

Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 28, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion im BORUSSIA-PARK
Union Berlin logo

Borussia M'bach
1 - 0
Union Berlin

Cvancara (90+6')
Stoger (67'), Plea (69'), Plea (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Querfeld (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 2-0 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, September 21 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Union Berlin

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Borussia Monchengladbach in this match.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawUnion Berlin
40.25% (0.035999999999994 0.04)26.68% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)33.07% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.51% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.58% (0.082999999999998 0.08)53.42% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.05% (0.068999999999999 0.07)74.95% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.94% (0.060999999999993 0.06)26.06% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.89% (0.077999999999996 0.08)61.1% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.66% (0.030000000000001 0.03)30.33% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.48% (0.036999999999999 0.04)66.52% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 40.25%
    Union Berlin 33.07%
    Draw 26.68%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 10.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.53% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.15% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 3.82% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 40.25%
1-1 @ 12.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.91% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.68%
0-1 @ 9.43% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.62% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.24% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 33.07%

How you voted: Borussia M'bach vs Union Berlin

Borussia Monchengladbach
37.7%
Draw
30.2%
Union Berlin
32.1%
53
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