Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 7

Oct 20, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Holstein-Stadion

Holstein Kiel
0 - 2
Union Berlin

Komenda (66'), Remberg (79')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kemlein (18'), Rothe (89')
Ronnow (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Holstein Kiel

All competitions

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-2 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, October 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Union Berlin

All competitions

Last Game: Union Berlin 2-1 Dortmund
Saturday, October 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Holstein Kiel	Draw	Union Berlin
30.38% ( -0.43)	25.5% ( -0.03)	44.11% ( 0.46)

Both teams to score 54.23% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.56% (

-0.06)

49.44% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.52% (

-0.06)

71.48% (

0.06)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.85% (

-0.33)

30.15% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.7% (

-0.39)

66.3% (

0.4)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.64% (

0.19)

22.36% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.14% (

0.28)

55.85% (

-0.27)

Score Analysis

Holstein Kiel 30.39%

Union Berlin 44.11%

Draw 25.49%

Holstein Kiel	Draw	Union Berlin
1-0 @ 8.08% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.19% Total : 30.39%	1-1 @ 12.1% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.49%	0-1 @ 10.09% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 4.53% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.24% Total : 44.11%