Bundesliga Gameweek 7
Oct 20, 2024 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Holstein-Stadion
  • Marco Komenda 66' yellowcard
  • Nicolai Remberg 79' yellowcard
  • goal Aljoscha Kemlein 18'
  • yellowcard Frederik Ronnow 73'
  • goal Tom Rothe 89'

Holstein Kiel vs Union Berlin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Last game
Oct 5, 2024 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen 2 - 2 Holstein Kiel
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Shuto Machino

Union Berlin

All competitions
Last game
Oct 5, 2024 2.30pm
Union Berlin 2 - 1 Dortmund
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Benedict Hollerbach

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result

Holstein Kiel 30.38% (-0.43)
Draw 25.5% (-0.03)
Union Berlin 44.11% (+0.46)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.23% (-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.56% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 49.44% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 28.52% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 71.48% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 13.66% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 86.34% (+0.04)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5 69.85% (-0.33)
Under 0.5 30.15% (+0.33)
Over 1.5 33.7% (-0.40)
Under 1.5 66.3% (+0.40)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5 77.64% (+0.19)
Under 0.5 22.36% (-0.19)
Over 1.5 44.14% (+0.28)
Under 1.5 55.85% (-0.28)

Score analysis

Holstein Kiel 30.39%
Draw 25.49%
Union Berlin 44.11%
Holstein Kiel
1-0 @ 8.08% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 7.26% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 4.85% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 2.9% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.94% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 30.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.1% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.74% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.49%
Union Berlin
0-1 @ 10.09% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 9.07% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 7.56% (+0.11)
1-3 @ 4.53% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 3.78% (+0.08)
2-3 @ 2.71% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.7% (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.41% (+0.04)
2-4 @ 1.02% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 44.11%

Head to Head

2.Bundesliga Gameweek 24
Mar 1, 2019 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Holstein-Stadion (Kiel)
  • Johannes van den Bergh 77' yellowcard
  • Jannik Dehm 80' yellowcard
  • Alexander Muhling 84' yellowcard
  • goal Felix Kroos 27'
  • yellowcard Christopher Trimmel 55'
  • yellowcard Manuel Schmiedebach 70'
  • yellowcard Joshua Mees 83'
  • goal Sebastian Andersson 90'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 7
Sep 25, 2018 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion An der Alten Försterei (Berlin)
  • Christopher Lenz 67' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Polter 90' goal
  • Grischa Promel 90' goal
  • yellowcard Hauke Wahl 57'
2.Bundesliga
Jan 23, 2018 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Holstein-Stadion (Kiel)
  • Tom Weilandt 7' yellowcard
  • Tom Weilandt 9' goal
  • Dominick Drexler 19' goal
  • Steven Lewerenz 71' yellowcard
  • David Kinsombi 84' redcard
  • yellowcard Marcel Hartel 22'
  • goal Steven Skrzybski 32'
  • yellowcard Felix Kroos 71'
  • goal Sebastian Polter 85'
2.Bundesliga
Aug 4, 2017 5.30pm
4
3
HT : 3 3
FT
  • Damir Kreilach 14' goal
  • Steven Skrzybski 24' goal
  • Simon Hedlund 27' goal
  • Steven Skrzybski 52' goal
  • Felix Kroos 56' yellowcard
  • Christopher Trimmel 81' yellowcard
  • goal Kingsley Schindler 12'
  • goal Kristian Pedersen 16' (OG)
  • goal Dominick Drexler 32'
  • yellowcard Alexander Muhling 55'
  • yellowcard Christopher Lenz 64'