Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Sep 29, 2024 2.30pm
2
4
HT : 1 1
FT Holstein-Stadion
  • Shuto Machino 30' goal
  • Shuto Machino 50' goal
  • Finn-Dominik Porath 51' yellowcard
  • goal Omar Marmoush 25'
  • yellowcard Aurele Amenda 35'
  • goal Igor Matanovic 47'
  • goal Omar Marmoush 65'
  • yellowcard Robin Koch 70'
  • goal Tuta 74'
  • yellowcard Hugo Larsson 80'

Holstein Kiel vs Eintracht Frankfurt - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last game
Sep 21, 2024 2.30pm
VfL Bochum 2 - 2 Holstein Kiel
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Shuto Machino

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions
Last game
Sep 21, 2024 5.30pm
Frankfurt 2 - 0 Borussia M'bach
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Hugo Ekitike

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.13%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.

Result

Holstein Kiel 31.2% (-0.22)
Draw 23% (-0.08)
Eintracht Frankfurt 45.8% (+0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.4% (+0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.39% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 37.61% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 40.16% (+0.26)
Under 3.5 59.84% (-0.26)
Over 4.5 22.27% (+0.21)
Under 4.5 77.73% (-0.21)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5 76.24% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 23.76% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 42.09% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 57.91% (+0.01)

Eintracht Frankfurt Goals

Over 0.5 83.16% (+0.21)
Under 0.5 16.84% (-0.21)
Over 1.5 53.16% (+0.36)
Under 1.5 46.84% (-0.37)

Score analysis

Holstein Kiel 31.2%
Draw 22.99%
Eintracht Frankfurt 45.8%
Holstein Kiel
2-1 @ 7.36% (-0.04)
1-0 @ 5.75% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 4.13% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.14% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.98% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 31.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.24% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 6.56% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.87% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.99%
Eintracht Frankfurt
1-2 @ 9.12% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 7.13% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 6.35% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 5.42% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 3.89% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.77% (+0.04)
1-4 @ 2.41% (+0.04)
2-4 @ 1.73% (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.68% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 45.8%