Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 5

Sep 29, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Holstein-Stadion

Holstein Kiel
2 - 4
Frankfurt

Machino (30' pen., 50')
Porath (51')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Marmoush (25', 65'), Matanovic (47'), Tuta (74')
Amenda (35'), Koch (70'), Larsson (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and Eintracht Frankfurt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Holstein Kiel

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-2 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Frankfurt 3-3 Plzen
Thursday, September 26 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.13%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.

Result
Holstein Kiel	Draw	Eintracht Frankfurt
31.2% ( -0.21)	23% ( -0.07)	45.8% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 63.4% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.39% (

0.24)

37.61% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.16% (

0.26)

59.84% (

-0.26)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.24% (

-0.01)

23.76% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.09% (

-0.01)

57.91% (

0.01)

Eintracht Frankfurt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.16% (

0.2)

16.84% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.16% (

0.36)

46.84% (

-0.36)

Score Analysis

Holstein Kiel 31.2%

Eintracht Frankfurt 45.8%

Draw 22.99%

Holstein Kiel	Draw	Eintracht Frankfurt
2-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 2.91% Total : 31.2%	1-1 @ 10.24% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.99%	1-2 @ 9.12% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.42% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.41% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.29% Total : 45.8%