Bundesliga Gameweek 6
Oct 5, 2024 2.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT BayArena
  • Victor Boniface 4' goal
  • Jonas Hofmann 8' goal
  • Jeremie Frimpong 68' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Tah 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Max Geschwill 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Magnus Knudsen 60'
  • goal Jann-Fiete Arp 69'
  • yellowcard Timon Weiner 90'+2'

Bayer Leverkusen vs Holstein Kiel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Last game
Sep 28, 2024 5.30pm
Bayern 1 - 1 B. Leverkusen
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Patrik Schick

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Last game
Sep 29, 2024 2.30pm
Holstein Kiel 2 - 4 Frankfurt
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Shuto Machino

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 64.52%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 17.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.13%) and 3-1 (7.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it was 1-2 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result

Bayer Leverkusen 64.52% (-2.44)
Draw 18.37% (+0.87)
Holstein Kiel 17.11% (+1.58)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.64% (+0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5 69.1% (-1.17)
Under 2.5 30.91% (+1.17)
Over 3.5 47.73% (-1.40)
Under 3.5 52.27% (+1.41)
Over 4.5 28.68% (-1.26)
Under 4.5 71.32% (+1.26)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 90.89% (-0.85)
Under 0.5 9.11% (+0.85)
Over 1.5 69.07% (-2.07)
Under 1.5 30.93% (+2.07)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5 68.92% (+1.00)
Under 0.5 31.08% (-1.00)
Over 1.5 32.6% (+1.16)
Under 1.5 67.4% (-1.16)

Score analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 64.52%
Draw 18.37%
Holstein Kiel 17.11%
Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.5% (+0.13)
2-0 @ 8.13% (-0.12)
3-1 @ 7.58% (-0.21)
1-0 @ 6.78% (+0.18)
3-0 @ 6.49% (-0.36)
4-1 @ 4.54% (-0.32)
3-2 @ 4.43% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.89% (-0.39)
4-2 @ 2.66% (-0.11)
5-1 @ 2.18% (-0.25)
5-0 @ 1.86% (-0.27)
5-2 @ 1.27% (-0.11)
4-3 @ 1.03% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 64.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.93% (+0.42)
2-2 @ 5.55% (+0.23)
0-0 @ 2.83% (+0.19)
3-3 @ 1.73% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 18.37%
Holstein Kiel
1-2 @ 4.63% (+0.37)
0-1 @ 3.31% (+0.30)
2-3 @ 2.16% (+0.15)
0-2 @ 1.93% (+0.22)
1-3 @ 1.8% (+0.19)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 17.11%