Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14

Dec 16, 2024 at 8.45pm UK

Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Rio Ave
2 - 2
Guimaraes

Clayton (6'), Ronaldo (38')
Aderlan (50'), Neto (88')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Rivas (51'), Gustavo (58')
Rivas (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Santa Clara 1-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, December 7 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: St Gallen 1-4 Guimaraes
Thursday, December 12 at 8pm in Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Rio Ave	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
28.35% ( 0.01)	26.04% ( 0.01)	45.6% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 51.35% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.36% (

-0.04)

52.64% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.71% (

-0.03)

74.29% (

0.04)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.71% (

-0.02)

33.29% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.1% (

-0.02)

69.91% (

0.02)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.97% (

-0.02)

23.03% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.15% (

-0.04)

56.85% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Rio Ave 28.35%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 45.6%

Draw 26.04%

Rio Ave	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.81% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.64% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.5% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.7% ( 0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 28.35%	1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.04%	0-1 @ 11.25% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.09% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.26% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.45% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.05% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( -0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 45.6%