Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 70.08%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Uniao de Leiria had a probability of 10.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.15%) and 3-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Uniao de Leiria win it was 0-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Uniao de Leiria
70.08% ( 0.2)	19.33% ( -0.02)	10.59% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 40.83% (

-0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.68% (

-0.38)

50.32% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.73% (

-0.34)

72.26% (

0.34)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.8% (

-0.06)

13.19% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.08% (

-0.12)

39.91% (

0.12)

Uniao de Leiria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.04% (

-0.59)

52.95% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.38% (

-0.38)

86.62% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 70.08%

Uniao de Leiria 10.59%

Draw 19.33%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Uniao de Leiria
2-0 @ 14.33% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 14.15% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.46% Total : 70.08%	1-1 @ 9% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.45% Total : 19.33%	0-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.87% Total : 10.59%