St Gallen
Conference League | League Stage
Dec 12, 2024 at 8pm UK
Kybunpark
Vitoria de Guimaraes

St Gallen
1 - 4
Guimaraes

Csoboth (66')
Akolo (44'), Vallci (45'), Diaby (57'), Stevanovic (60'), Ati-Zigi (90+4'), Stevanovic (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mendes (33'), Gustavo (58'), Oliveira Baio (84'), Samu (90+4')
Oliveira Baio (50'), Silva (86'), Santos (87'), Mendes (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League clash between St Gallen and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Gallen 1-1 Basel
Sunday, December 8 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 1-0 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
St GallenDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
36.21% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)25.16% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)38.63% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 57.15% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.57% (0.00099999999999767 0)46.43% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.29% (0.0010000000000012 0)68.71% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
St Gallen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.95% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)25.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)59.73%
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.25% (0.0010000000000048 0)23.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)57.89% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    St Gallen 36.21%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 38.63%
    Draw 25.16%
St GallenDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 8.24% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 8.2%
2-0 @ 5.7% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.78%
3-2 @ 2.72%
3-0 @ 2.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.94%
4-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 36.21%
1-1 @ 11.84%
0-0 @ 5.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.89%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 8.55% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 8.51%
0-2 @ 6.15%
1-3 @ 4.08% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2.95%
2-3 @ 2.82%
1-4 @ 1.47% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 38.63%

How you voted: St Gallen vs Guimaraes

St Gallen
14.5%
Draw
9.1%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
76.4%
55