Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13
Dec 7, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica1 - 0Guimaraes
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Arouca 0-2 Benfica
Sunday, December 1 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, December 1 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
30
Last Game: Guimaraes 4-0 Gil Vicente
Monday, December 2 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga
Monday, December 2 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Benfica 3-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes
Benfica are currently firing on all cylinders and will be backing themselves against a Guimaraes side who have failed to win any of the last 20 encounters between the two teams in over 16 years. While Borges's men will look to continue from where they left off against Gil Vicente last time out, they are without a win in their most recent four away matches and we see them struggling at the Estadio da Luz once again. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 72.49%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 11.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.72%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-2 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
72.49% ( 0.3) | 16.48% ( -0.1) | 11.03% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 52.05% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
