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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fbenlog.png)
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Mamadou N'Diaye
36'
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Chico Faria Camara Lamba
40'
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Jose Fontan
12'
(OG)
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Orkun Kokcu
31'
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Jan-Niklas Beste
69'
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Angel di Maria
71'
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Zeki Amdouni
90'+1'
Arouca vs Benfica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 62.01%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.54%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-0 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Arouca Goals
Benfica Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 17%
0-0 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 20.98%
0-1 @ 10.54% ▼ (-0.05)
1-2 @ 9.94% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 7.04% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 6.63% ▲ (+0.06)
0-4 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.09)
1-4 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.02)
0-5 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.05)
1-5 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 62%
Mateus Quaresma
45'+1'