Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12

Dec 1, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Arouca

Arouca
0 - 2
Benfica

N'Diaye (36'), Faria Camara Lamba (40')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Fontan (12' og.), di Maria (71' pen.)
Kokcu (31'), Beste (69'), Amdouni (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Arouca 1-2 Farense
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Monaco 2-3 Benfica
Wednesday, November 27 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 62.01%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.54%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-0 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.

Result
Arouca	Draw	Benfica
17% ( -0.32)	20.98% ( -0.19)	62.01% ( 0.51)

Both teams to score 52.76% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.4% (

0.29)

43.59% (

-0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.01% (

0.28)

65.98% (

-0.28)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61% (

-0.21)

39% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.28% (

-0.19)

75.72% (

0.19)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.49% (

0.24)

13.51% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.45% (

0.48)

40.55% (

-0.49)

Score Analysis

Arouca 17%

Benfica 62%

Draw 20.98%

Arouca	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.1% Total : 17%	1-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.98%	0-2 @ 10.55% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.94% ( -0) 0-3 @ 7.04% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 6.63% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 3.53% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 3.32% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 1.41% ( 0.04) 1-5 @ 1.33% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.02% Total : 62%