Champions League

Champions League | League Stage

Nov 27, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade Louis II.

Monaco
2 - 3
Benfica

Ben Seghir (13'), Magassa (67')
Zakaria (41'), Kehrer (41'), Singo (42'), Mawissa (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pavlidis (48'), Cabral (84'), Amdouni (88')
Luis (5'), Fernandez (29'), Akturkoglu (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Monaco and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Monaco 3-2 Brest
Friday, November 22 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Benfica

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Benfica 7-0 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, November 23 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 37.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Monaco	Draw	Benfica
37.86% ( -2.47)	24.53% ( 0.69)	37.61% ( 1.78)

Both teams to score 59.5% (

-2.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.58% (

-3.22)

43.42% (

3.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.19% (

-3.25)

65.82% (

3.25)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.2% (

-2.61)

22.8% (

2.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.5% (

-4.01)

56.51% (

4.02)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.07% (

-0.53)

22.93% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.3% (

-0.79)

56.7% (

0.79)

Score Analysis

Monaco 37.86%

Benfica 37.61%

Draw 24.53%

Monaco	Draw	Benfica
2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.25) 1-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.49) 2-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.47) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.4) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.27) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.32) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.25) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.29% Total : 37.86%	1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.56) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.71) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.23) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.53%	1-2 @ 8.38% ( 0.28) 0-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.93) 0-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.61) 1-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.26) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.26% Total : 37.61%