Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 50.82%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 25.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 2-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.