Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6

Sep 29, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stade de la Meinau

Strasbourg
1 - 0
Marseille

Moreira (40')
Rosenior (7'), Doukoure (56'), Doue (68')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rabiot (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Strasbourg and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Strasbourg

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lille 3-3 Strasbourg
Saturday, September 21 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lyon 2-3 Marseille
Sunday, September 22 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 46.86%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Strasbourg	Draw	Marseille
28.51% ( -0.35)	24.63% ( -0.09)	46.86% ( 0.44)

Both teams to score 55.95% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.32% (

0.17)

46.67% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.06% (

0.16)

68.94% (

-0.16)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.93% (

-0.17)

30.07% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.8% (

-0.2)

66.2% (

0.2)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80% (

0.26)

19.99% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.82% (

0.41)

52.18% (

-0.41)

Score Analysis

Strasbourg 28.51%

Marseille 46.86%

Draw 24.62%

Strasbourg	Draw	Marseille
1-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.16% Total : 28.51%	1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.62%	0-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.36% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.79% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 5.02% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.89% Total : 46.86%