Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7

Oct 6, 2024 at 4pm UK

Stade de la Meinau

Strasbourg
2 - 2
Lens

Sylla (18'), Diarra (60' pen.)
Santos (22'), Doukoure (41')

FT(HT: 1-2)

N'Zola (5'), Diouf (44')
Chavez (38'), Said (41'), Medina (64'), N'Zola (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Strasbourg and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Strasbourg

All competitions

Last Game: Strasbourg 1-0 Marseille
Sunday, September 29 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Lens

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lens 0-0 Nice
Saturday, September 28 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Strasbourg	Draw	Lens
30.88% ( 0.89)	26.27% ( 0.43)	42.84% ( -1.32)

Both teams to score 51.99% (

-0.91)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.55% (

-1.38)

52.44% (

1.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.88% (

-1.2)

74.12% (

1.2)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.66% (

-0.08)

31.33% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.3% (

-0.09)

67.69% (

0.09)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.72% (

-1.25)

24.28% (

1.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.35% (

-1.8)

58.64% (

1.79)

Score Analysis

Strasbourg 30.88%

Lens 42.84%

Draw 26.27%

Strasbourg	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.46) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.9% Total : 30.88%	1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.27%	0-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.67% Total : 42.84%