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Ligue 1

Monaco
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8
Oct 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Louis II.
Lille

Monaco
0 - 0
Lille


Teze (41')
FT

Bouaddi (11'), Meunier (34'), Alexsandro (44'), Sahraoui (70'), Bayo (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 1-2 Monaco
Saturday, October 5 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Lille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Toulouse
Saturday, October 5 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 45.58%. A win for Lille had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
MonacoDrawLille
45.58% (0.462 0.46)24.68% (-0.144 -0.14)29.73% (-0.316 -0.32)
Both teams to score 56.59% (0.302 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.8% (0.48099999999999 0.48)46.2% (-0.479 -0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.51% (0.454 0.45)68.49% (-0.45099999999999 -0.45)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.65% (0.40000000000001 0.4)20.35% (-0.398 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.26% (0.634 0.63)52.74% (-0.631 -0.63)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04% (0.022999999999996 0.02)28.96% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.15% (0.027999999999999 0.03)64.85% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Monaco 45.58%
    Lille 29.73%
    Draw 24.67%
MonacoDrawLille
1-0 @ 9.38% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.47% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.91% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.97% (0.066 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.04% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.96% (0.057 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.58% (0.045 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 45.58%
1-1 @ 11.62% (-0.090000000000002 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.89% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.74% (0.032 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.67%
0-1 @ 7.3% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-2 @ 7.2% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.52% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.87% (-0.035 -0.03)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 29.73%

How you voted: Monaco vs Lille

Monaco
76.9%
Draw
17.3%
Lille
5.8%
208
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