Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9

Oct 27, 2024 at 4pm UK

Stade de la Meinau

Strasbourg
3 - 1
Nantes

Santos (17', 57'), Bakwa (73')
Santos (38'), Diarra (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Guirassy (83')
Lepenant (87'), Ganago (90+2'), Zeze (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Strasbourg and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Strasbourg

All competitions

Last Game: PSG 4-2 Strasbourg
Saturday, October 19 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Nantes

All competitions

Last Game: Nantes 1-1 Nice
Sunday, October 20 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.

Result
Strasbourg	Draw	Nantes
40.25% ( 0.18)	26.79% ( 0.01)	32.96% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 51.11% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.08% (

-0.09)

53.92% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.63% (

-0.08)

75.37% (

0.08)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.71% (

0.06)

26.29% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.58% (

0.07)

61.42% (

-0.07)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.34% (

-0.18)

30.66% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.1% (

-0.21)

66.9% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Strasbourg 40.24%

Nantes 32.96%

Draw 26.79%

Strasbourg	Draw	Nantes
1-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 40.24%	1-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.79%	0-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.1% Total : 32.96%