Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 59.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 16.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.1%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Gil Vicente |
59.14% (![]() | 23.87% (![]() | 16.99% (![]() |
Both teams to score 44.08% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.78% (![]() | 55.22% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.55% (![]() | 76.45% (![]() |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.54% (![]() | 18.46% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.35% (![]() | 49.65% (![]() |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.06% (![]() | 45.94% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.32% (![]() | 81.67% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 14.32% (![]() 2-0 @ 12.1% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.42% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.82% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.3% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.88% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 3.01% Total : 59.13% | 1-1 @ 11.14% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.48% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.66% ( ![]() Other @ 0.58% Total : 23.86% | 0-1 @ 6.6% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.33% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.57% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.12% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 1.42% Total : 16.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 57 | 16 | 41 | 51 |
2 | Benfica | 21 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 49 | 18 | 31 | 47 |
3 | Porto | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 43 |
4 | Braga | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 21 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 38 |
6 | Casa Pia | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 33 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 30 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 30 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 25 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 23 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 23 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 22 |
14 | Nacional | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 22 |
15 | AVS | 21 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 18 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 17 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 21 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |