Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12

Dec 2, 2024 at 6.45pm UK

Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
4 - 0
Gil Vicente

Andres Ramirez (45'), Cruz (46' og.), Silva (59'), Oliveira (87')
Silva (63')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gbane (55'), Caseres (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Astana 1-1 Guimaraes
Thursday, November 28 at 3.30pm in Conference League

Goals
for

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Vila Real 0-2 Gil Vicente
Sunday, November 24 at 2pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 59.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 16.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.1%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Gil Vicente
59.14% ( 0.53)	23.87% ( -0.13)	16.99% ( -0.41)

Both teams to score 44.08% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.78% (

-0.11)

55.22% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.55% (

-0.09)

76.45% (

0.09)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.54% (

0.16)

18.46% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.35% (

0.26)

49.65% (

-0.26)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.06% (

-0.58)

45.94% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.32% (

-0.46)

81.67% (

0.46)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 59.13%

Gil Vicente 16.99%

Draw 23.86%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Gil Vicente
1-0 @ 14.32% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 12.1% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.01% Total : 59.13%	1-1 @ 11.14% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.58% Total : 23.86%	0-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.42% Total : 16.99%