MX23RW : Wednesday, February 12 01:32:37| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12
Dec 2, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Gil Vicente logo

Guimaraes
4 - 0
Gil Vicente

Andres Ramirez (45'), Cruz (46' og.), Silva (59'), Oliveira (87')
Silva (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gbane (55'), Caseres (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Astana 1-1 Guimaraes
Thursday, November 28 at 3.30pm in Conference League
Last Game: Vila Real 0-2 Gil Vicente
Sunday, November 24 at 2pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-0 Gil Vicente

Having picked up 11 wins and two draws from their 17 Primeira Liga home games last season, Guimaraes have continued to make their home turf a fortress, which has been key to their surge into the top half of the table this term. Gil Vicente have struggled to impose themselves on the road and we are backing Borges's side to come away with all three points.  Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 59.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 16.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.1%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawGil Vicente
59.14% (0.533 0.53) 23.87% (-0.125 -0.13) 16.99% (-0.408 -0.41)
Both teams to score 44.08% (-0.391 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.78% (-0.113 -0.11)55.22% (0.112 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.55% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)76.45% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.54% (0.155 0.16)18.46% (-0.155 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.35% (0.263 0.26)49.65% (-0.264 -0.26)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.06% (-0.583 -0.58)45.94% (0.58300000000001 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.32% (-0.458 -0.46)81.67% (0.456 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 59.13%
    Gil Vicente 16.99%
    Draw 23.86%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawGil Vicente
1-0 @ 14.32% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 12.1% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.82% (0.131 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.3% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.88% (0.069 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.028 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 59.13%
1-1 @ 11.14% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 8.48% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.66% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 23.86%
0-1 @ 6.6% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-2 @ 4.33% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-2 @ 2.57% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.12% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-3 @ 0.95% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 16.99%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Gil Vicente

Vitoria de Guimaraes
84.4%
Draw
9.4%
Gil Vicente
6.3%
64
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2024 6.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Guimaraes
3-1
Gil Vicente
Silva (6'), Silva (11'), Silva (45+1')
Silva (81')
Costa (37')
Pereira (33'), Toure (78'), Pinto (90+3')
Jan 28, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 19
Gil Vicente
1-0
Guimaraes
Dominguez (85')
Buta (49')

Gaspar (73'), Andre (82')
Aug 19, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 2
Guimaraes
2-1
Gil Vicente
Silva (62'), Luz (82')
Villanueva (69'), Silva (72'), Gaspar (90+8')
Baturina (55')
Gbane (40'), Marlon (44'), Pereira (90+7')
May 21, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 33
Guimaraes
1-0
Gil Vicente
Silva (90+3')
Luz (46'), Silva (50'), Silva (90+5')

Aouacheria (45+4'), Carvalho (90+12')
Jan 16, 2023 9.15pm
Gameweek 16
Gil Vicente
2-1
Guimaraes
Alipour (40'), Navarro (82')
Silva (17')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon21163257164151
2Benfica21152449183147
3Porto21134445182743
4Braga21134438201843
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2112272522338
6Casa Pia219662725233
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes217953025530
8Estoril PraiaEstoril218672632-630
9FamalicaoFamalicao2151062224-225
10Rio AveRio Ave216782335-1225
11MoreirenseMoreirense2165102531-623
12AroucaArouca2165101932-1323
13Gil Vicente215792332-922
14Nacional2164111928-922
15AVS213991631-1518
16Estrela Amadora2145121834-1617
17SC FarenseFarense2136121330-1715
18BoavistaBoavista2126131436-2212


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