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UEFA Conference League

Astana
Conference League | League Stage
Nov 28, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Astana Arena
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Astana
1 - 1
Guimaraes

Kalaica (40')
Chinedu (63'), Ebong (81'), Bartolec (90+4'), Handel (90+2'), Amanovic (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Andres Ramirez (89')
Silva (58'), Oliveira Baio (77'), Condric (90'), Mendes (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League clash between Astana and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Astana

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Last Game: Pafos 1-0 Astana
Thursday, November 7 at 5.45pm in Conference League
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Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Conference League
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-0 Uniao de Leiria
Saturday, November 23 at 4.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 44.83%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Astana had a probability of 27.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.77%) and 1-2 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for an Astana win it was 1-0 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
AstanaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
27.53% (-0.535 -0.54)27.63% (0.038 0.04)44.83% (0.498 0.5)
Both teams to score 46.24% (-0.428 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.04% (-0.381 -0.38)58.96% (0.381 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.56% (-0.296 -0.3)79.44% (0.29600000000001 0.3)
Astana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.66% (-0.646 -0.65)37.34% (0.646 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.88% (-0.641 -0.64)74.12% (0.642 0.64)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.79% (0.076999999999998 0.08)26.21% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.69% (0.107 0.11)61.3% (-0.107 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Astana 27.53%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 44.83%
    Draw 27.62%
AstanaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 9.64% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 6.36% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-0 @ 4.75% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-1 @ 2.09% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.56% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.4% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 27.53%
1-1 @ 12.9% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.79% (0.141 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.62%
0-1 @ 13.1% (0.22 0.22)
0-2 @ 8.77% (0.164 0.16)
1-2 @ 8.64% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.92% (0.082 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.86% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.31% (0.03 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.29% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 44.83%

How you voted: Astana vs Guimaraes

Astana
13.8%
Draw
10.8%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
75.4%
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