Conference League
Nov 28, 2024 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Astana Arena
  • Branimir Kalaica 40' goal
  • Geoffrey Chinedu 63' yellowcard
  • Max Ebong 81' yellowcard
  • Tomas Handel 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Karlo Bartolec 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Aleksa Amanovic 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tiago Silva 58'
  • yellowcard Alberto Oliveira Baio 77'
  • goal Jesus Andres Ramirez 89'
  • yellowcard Josip Condric 90'
  • yellowcard Joao Mendes 90'+4'

Astana vs Vitoria de Guimaraes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Astana

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Nov 7, 2024 5.45pm
Pafos 1 - 0 Astana

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Nov 7, 2024 8.00pm
Guimaraes 2 - 1 Mlada Boleslav

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 44.83%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Astana had a probability of 27.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.77%) and 1-2 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for an Astana win it was 1-0 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result

Astana 27.53% (-0.54)
Draw 27.63% (+0.04)
Vitoria de Guimaraes 44.83% (+0.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.24% (-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.04% (-0.39)
Under 2.5 58.96% (+0.39)
Over 3.5 20.56% (-0.30)
Under 3.5 79.44% (+0.30)
Over 4.5 8.66% (-0.18)
Under 4.5 91.34% (+0.18)

Astana Goals

Over 0.5 62.66% (-0.65)
Under 0.5 37.34% (+0.65)
Over 1.5 25.88% (-0.65)
Under 1.5 74.12% (+0.65)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5 73.79% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 26.21% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 38.69% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 61.3% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Astana 27.53%
Draw 27.62%
Vitoria de Guimaraes 44.83%
Astana
1-0 @ 9.64% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 6.36% (-0.12)
2-0 @ 4.75% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 2.09% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 1.56% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 1.4% (-0.05)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 27.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.9% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 9.79% (+0.15)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.62%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
0-1 @ 13.1% (+0.22)
0-2 @ 8.77% (+0.17)
1-2 @ 8.64% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.92% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 3.86% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.03)
0-4 @ 1.31% (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.29% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 44.83%