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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | League Stage
Nov 7, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Tsirion Athlitiko Kentro
Astana

Pafos
1 - 0
Astana

Silva (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kuat (42'), Seysen (52')
Coverage of the Conference League League Stage clash between Pafos FC and Astana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pafos FC

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Last Game: Pafos 0-1 Heidenheim
Thursday, October 24 at 8pm in Conference League
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Astana

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Last Game: New Saints 2-0 Astana
Thursday, October 24 at 8pm in Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pafos FC win with a probability of 57.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Astana had a probability of 19.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pafos FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for an Astana win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pafos FC in this match.

Result
Pafos FCDrawAstana
57.09% (0.113 0.11)23.33% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)19.58% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 50.04% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.38% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)49.62% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.36% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)71.64% (0.044000000000011 0.04)
Pafos FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.84% (0.019999999999996 0.02)17.16% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.6% (0.036999999999999 0.04)47.4% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)
Astana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.41% (-0.132 -0.13)39.59% (0.131 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.72% (-0.123 -0.12)76.28% (0.122 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Pafos FC 57.08%
    Astana 19.58%
    Draw 23.32%
Pafos FCDrawAstana
1-0 @ 11.97% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 10.55% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.2% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.73% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.53% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 57.08%
1-1 @ 11.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.79% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 23.32%
0-1 @ 6.29% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.14% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.92% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.59% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 19.58%

How you voted: Pafos vs Astana

Pafos FC
66.7%
Draw
13.3%
Astana
20.0%
15