Conference League | League Stage
Oct 24, 2024 at 8pm UK
Tsirion Athlitiko Kentro
Heidenheim

Pafos
0 - 1
Heidenheim


Luckassen (55')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mainka (25')
Dorsch (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League clash between Pafos FC and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Petrocub 1-4 Pafos
Thursday, October 3 at 8pm in Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pafos FC win with a probability of 48.02%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pafos FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.

Result
Pafos FCDrawHeidenheim
48.02% (0.042999999999999 0.04)23.34% (-0.012 -0.01)28.65% (-0.032 -0.03)
Both teams to score 60.51% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.29% (0.027999999999999 0.03)40.71% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.91% (0.029000000000003 0.03)63.09% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Pafos FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.8% (0.024000000000001 0.02)17.19% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.53% (0.045999999999999 0.05)47.47% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.07% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)26.93% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.75% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)62.25% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Pafos FC 48.02%
    Heidenheim 28.65%
    Draw 23.33%
Pafos FCDrawHeidenheim
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.0029999999999983 0)
1-0 @ 8.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.43% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.85% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 48.02%
1-1 @ 10.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.18%
0-0 @ 4.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.33%
1-2 @ 7.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.07% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.99% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 28.65%

How you voted: Pafos vs Heidenheim

Pafos FC
27.1%
Draw
8.5%
Heidenheim
64.4%
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