Conference League
Oct 24, 2024 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Tsirion Athlitiko Kentro
  • Derrick Luckassen 55' yellowcard
  • goal Patrick Mainka 25'
  • yellowcard Niklas Dorsch 46'

Pafos FC vs Heidenheim - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Pafos FC

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Oct 3, 2024 8.00pm
Petrocub 1 - 4 Pafos

Heidenheim

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Oct 3, 2024 5.45pm
Heidenheim 2 - 1 Ljubljana

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pafos FC win with a probability of 48.02%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pafos FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.

Result

Pafos FC 48.02% (+0.05)
Draw 23.34% (-0.02)
Heidenheim 28.65% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.51% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.29% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 40.71% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 36.91% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 63.09% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 19.71% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 80.29% (-0.03)

Pafos FC Goals

Over 0.5 82.8% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 17.19% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 52.53% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 47.47% (-0.05)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5 73.07% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 26.93% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 37.75% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 62.25% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Pafos FC 48.02%
Draw 23.33%
Heidenheim 28.65%
Pafos FC
2-1 @ 9.42% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.15% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.18% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.53% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.21% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.63% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.43% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.85% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.6% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 48.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.69% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.18%
0-0 @ 4.63% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.59% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.33%
Heidenheim
1-2 @ 7.02% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.07% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.99% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 28.65%