Primeira Liga
Gameweek
13
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-
Paulo Daniel Valente Moreira
37'
-
Danilo Veiga
45'+4'
-
Tiago Esgaio
58'
-
Kikas
65'
-
Rodrigo Pinho
68'
-
Manuel Keliano
90'+1'
-
Jason
4'
-
Amadou Dante
6'
-
Jason
81'
Estrela Amadora vs Arouca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
Result
Estrela Amadora
32.04%
▲
(+0.28)
Draw
26.63%
▲
(+0.27)
Arouca
41.33%
▼
(-0.54)
Both Teams to Score:
51.35%
▼
(-0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5
46.52%
▼
(-1.00)
Under 2.5
53.48%
▲
(+1.00)
Over 3.5
25%
▼
(-0.85)
Under 3.5
75%
▲
(+0.85)
Over 4.5
11.36%
▼
(-0.54)
Under 4.5
88.65%
▲
(+0.55)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5
68.95%
▼
(-0.32)
Under 0.5
31.05%
▲
(+0.32)
Over 1.5
32.63%
▼
(-0.37)
Under 1.5
67.37%
▲
(+0.38)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5
74.48%
▼
(-0.73)
Under 0.5
25.52%
▲
(+0.74)
Over 1.5
39.63%
▼
(-1.01)
Under 1.5
60.37%
▲
(+1.01)
Score analysis
Estrela Amadora
32.04%
Draw
26.62%
Arouca
41.33%
Estrela Amadora
1-0
@
9.27%
▲
(+0.28)
2-1 @ 7.4% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.42% ▲ (+0.12)
3-1 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 32.04%
2-1 @ 7.4% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.42% ▲ (+0.12)
3-1 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 32.04%
Draw
1-1
@
12.65%
▲
(+0.13)
0-0 @ 7.93% ▲ (+0.31)
2-2 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.62%
0-0 @ 7.93% ▲ (+0.31)
2-2 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.62%
Arouca
0-1
@
10.82%
▲
(+0.21)
1-2 @ 8.64% ▼ (-0.10)
0-2 @ 7.39% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.14)
0-3 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.10)
1-4 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.08)
0-4 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 41.33%
1-2 @ 8.64% ▼ (-0.10)
0-2 @ 7.39% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.14)
0-3 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.10)
1-4 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.08)
0-4 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 41.33%
Head to Head
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
32
-
Matias Rocha
90'
-
Nilton Varela
40'
-
Rodrigo Pinho
44'
-
Leo Cordeiro
90'+3'
-
Leonel Bucca
90'+6'
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
15
-
Kialonda Gaspar
11'
-
Dida
71'
-
Rafa Mujica
40'
-
Rafa Mujica
47'
-
Morlaye Sylla
66'
-
Jason
77'
-
Francisco Montero
80'
-
Andre Bukia
90'+1'
-
Ignacio De Arruabarrena
90'+7'