Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13

Dec 9, 2024 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio Jose Gomes

Estrela Amadora
2 - 1
Arouca

Esgaio (58' og.), Pinho (68')
Daniel Valente Moreira (37'), Veiga (45+4'), Kikas (65'), Keliano (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Jason (4')
Dante (6'), Jason (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Farense 1-0 Estrela Amadora
Friday, November 29 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Arouca

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Arouca 0-2 Benfica
Sunday, December 1 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Estrela Amadora	Draw	Arouca
32.04% ( 0.27)	26.63% ( 0.27)	41.33% ( -0.54)

Both teams to score 51.35% (

-0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.52% (

-0.99)

53.48% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25% (

-0.85)

75% (

0.85)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.95% (

-0.31)

31.05% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.63% (

-0.37)

67.37% (

0.37)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.48% (

-0.73)

25.52% (

0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.63% (

-1)

60.37% (

1.01)

Score Analysis

Estrela Amadora 32.04%

Arouca 41.33%

Draw 26.62%

Estrela Amadora	Draw	Arouca
1-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.99% Total : 32.04%	1-1 @ 12.65% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.62%	0-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 8.64% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.38% Total : 41.33%