Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12

Nov 29, 2024 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio de Sao Luis

Farense
1 - 0
Estrela Amadora

Poveda (23')
Africo (63'), Merghem (74'), Pedro Miranda Oliveira Menino (81'), Bermejo (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ruiz (19'), Jesus (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SC Farense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Arouca 1-2 Farense
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Benfica 7-0 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, November 23 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 50.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 24.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for SC Farense in this match.

Result
SC Farense	Draw	Estrela Amadora
50.74% ( -0.12)	24.74% ( 0.04)	24.52% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 52.16% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.96% (

-0.08)

50.04% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.98% (

-0.07)

72.02% (

0.07)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.28% (

-0.08)

19.72% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.26% (

-0.13)

51.74% (

0.13)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.97% (

0.03)

35.03% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.23% (

0.03)

71.77% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

SC Farense 50.74%

Estrela Amadora 24.52%

Draw 24.73%

SC Farense	Draw	Estrela Amadora
1-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.88% Total : 50.74%	1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.01% 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.73%	0-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.06% Total : 24.52%