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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Farense logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12
Nov 29, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
Estrela Amadora

Farense
1 - 0
Estrela Amadora

Poveda (23')
Africo (63'), Merghem (74'), Pedro Miranda Oliveira Menino (81'), Bermejo (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ruiz (19'), Jesus (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arouca 1-2 Farense
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Benfica 7-0 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, November 23 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: SC Farense 1-1 Estrela Amadora

Following a 7-0 hammering at the hands of Benfica, Estrela will head into Friday's clash looking to restore some pride and push clear of the danger zone. However, we predict that Farense will do just enough to force a share of the spoils and extend their unbeaten run against Faria's men to five games.  Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 50.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 24.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for SC Farense in this match.

Result
SC FarenseDrawEstrela Amadora
50.74% (-0.121 -0.12) 24.74% (0.038 0.04) 24.52% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 52.16% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.96% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)50.04% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.98% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)72.02% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.28% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)19.72% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.26% (-0.128 -0.13)51.74% (0.13 0.13)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.97% (0.034000000000006 0.03)35.03% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.23% (0.034000000000002 0.03)71.77% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 50.74%
    Estrela Amadora 24.52%
    Draw 24.73%
SC FarenseDrawEstrela Amadora
1-0 @ 11.21% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.1% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.17% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.93% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 50.74%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.91% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.01%
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.73%
0-1 @ 7.25% (0.029 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.17% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.8% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.16% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.33% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 24.52%

How you voted: Farense vs Estrela Amadora

SC Farense
40.7%
Draw
51.9%
Estrela Amadora
7.4%
27
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 31
Estrela Amadora
0-3
Farense

Gaspar (45+1'), Santos (52')
Duarte (44' pen.), Belloumi (47'), Matias (79')
Duarte (34'), Caseres (65')
Dec 15, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 14
Farense
0-0
Estrela Amadora
Oliveira (8'), Isidoro (81')
Jaba (71')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1211013963333
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara128041512324
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense125251717017
9Rio AveRio Ave124351322-915
10Casa Pia113441014-413
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13BoavistaBoavista12246715-810
14AVS11245919-1010
15Nacional11236615-99
16Estrela Amadora122371021-119
17SC FarenseFarense12228618-128
18AroucaArouca11227619-138


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