Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14

Dec 16, 2024 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio Do Dragao

Porto
2 - 0
Estrela Amadora

Gonzalez (12'), Borges (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Veiga (33'), Lima (76')
Veiga (74'), Augusto (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Porto 2-0 Midtjylland
Thursday, December 12 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 2-1 Arouca
Monday, December 9 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 91.69%. A draw had a probability of 6.4% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 1.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.76%) and 4-0 (12.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.99%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (0.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
Porto	Draw	Estrela Amadora
91.69% ( -0.64)	6.37% ( 0.47)	1.93% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 32.01% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.57% (

-1.58)

26.43% (

1.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.23% (

-2.04)

46.77% (

2.04)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.75% (

-0.32)

3.25% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

85.62% (

-1.1)

14.38% (

1.09)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

33.08% (

0.04)

66.92% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

6.2% (

0.01)

93.8% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Porto 91.68%

Estrela Amadora 1.93%

Draw 6.37%

Porto	Draw	Estrela Amadora
3-0 @ 14.58% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 12.76% ( 0.53) 4-0 @ 12.49% ( -0.2) 5-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.4) 1-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.52) 3-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.22) 4-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.07) 6-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.38) 5-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.15) 7-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.26) 6-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) 8-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) 7-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.98% Total : 91.68%	1-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.17% Total : 6.37%	Other @ 1.93% Total : 1.93%