Primeira Liga Gameweek 14
Porto
Dec 16, 2024 8.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Do Dragao
Estrela Amadora
  • Nico Gonzalez 12' goal
  • Goncalo Borges 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Danilo Veiga 33'
  • redcard Danilo Veiga 74'
  • redcard Ze Augusto 75'
  • yellowcard Ruben Lima 76'

Porto vs Estrela Amadora - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Last game
Dec 7, 2024 8.30pm
Famalicao 1 - 1 Porto
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Samu Omorodion

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last game
Dec 9, 2024 8.15pm
Estrela Amadora 2 - 1 Arouca
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Kikas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 91.69%. A draw had a probability of 6.4% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 1.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.76%) and 4-0 (12.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.99%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (0.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result

Porto 91.69% ▼ (-0.64)
Draw 6.37% ▲ (+0.48)
Estrela Amadora 1.93% ▲ (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

32.01% ▼ (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 73.57% ▼ (-1.58)
Under 2.5 26.43% ▲ (+1.58)
Over 3.5 53.23% ▼ (-2.05)
Under 3.5 46.77% ▲ (+2.05)
Over 4.5 33.77% ▼ (-1.99)
Under 4.5 66.23% ▲ (+1.98)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5 96.75% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 0.5 3.25% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 1.5 85.62% ▼ (-1.10)
Under 1.5 14.38% ▲ (+1.10)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5 33.08% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 66.92% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 1.5 6.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 93.8% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Porto 91.68%
Draw 6.37%
Estrela Amadora 1.93%
Porto
3-0 @ 14.58% ▲ (+0.20)
2-0 @ 12.76% ▲ (+0.53)
4-0 @ 12.49% ▼ (-0.20)
5-0 @ 8.56% ▼ (-0.40)
1-0 @ 7.45% ▲ (+0.52)
3-1 @ 5.86% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 5.13% ▲ (+0.23)
4-1 @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.08)
6-0 @ 4.89% ▼ (-0.38)
5-1 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.16)
7-0 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.27)
6-1 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.15)
3-2 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.03)
8-0 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.15)
4-2 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 91.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 2.99% ▲ (+0.22)
0-0 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.21)
2-2 @ 1.03% ▼ (-97.37)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 6.37%
Estrela Amadora
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 1.93%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 22
Porto
Feb 17, 2024 8.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Do Dragao
Estrela Amadora
  • Galeno 36' goal
  • Joao Mario 56' goal
  • yellowcard Kialonda Gaspar 17'
  • yellowcard Aloisio Genezio 43'
  • yellowcard Sergio Vieira 43'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 5
Estrela Amadora
Sep 15, 2023 7.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa
Porto
  • Kialonda Gaspar 10' yellowcard
  • Leo Jaba 17' yellowcard
  • Aloisio Genezio 52' yellowcard
  • S. Vieira 62' yellowcard
  • goal Mehdi Taremi 29'
  • yellowcard Wendell 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Pepe 48'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Borges 56'
  • yellowcard Andre Franco 67'
  • yellowcard David Carmo 90'+1'

Form Data

Porto 2 - 0 Midtjylland
Famalicao 1 - 1 Porto
Porto 2 - 0 Casa Pia
Anderlecht 2 - 2 Porto
Moreirense 2 - 1 Porto
Benfica 4 - 1 Porto
Estrela Amadora 2 - 1 Arouca
Farense 1 - 0 Estrela Amadora
Benfica 7 - 0 Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora 2 - 0 Nacional
Sporting Lisbon 5 - 1 Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora 2 - 2 Guimaraes