Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15

Dec 23, 2024 at 6.45pm UK

Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
3 - 0
Estoril

Pavlidis (28'), Amdouni (73', 90+4')
Kokcu (67')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Boma (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Nacional 0-2 Benfica
Thursday, December 19 at 5pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Last Game: Estoril 0-2 Casa Pia
Sunday, December 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 87.07%. A draw had a probability of 9.1% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 3.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.98%) and 4-0 (9.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.32%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (1.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Estoril Praia
87.07% ( 0.48)	9.09% ( -0.1)	3.83% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 41.56% (

-3.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.96% (

-2.02)

28.05% (

2.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.2% (

-2.56)

48.8% (

2.56)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.76% (

-0.25)

4.24% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

82.36% (

-0.81)

17.64% (

0.82)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.4% (

-3.45)

56.6% (

3.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.19% (

-2.07)

88.82% (

2.07)

Score Analysis

Benfica 87.06%

Estoril Praia 3.83%

Draw 9.09%

Benfica	Draw	Estoril Praia
3-0 @ 12.62% ( 0.81) 2-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.99) 4-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.46) 1-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.76) 3-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.28) 2-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.13) 5-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.34) 5-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.29) 6-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.32) 6-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.19) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.29) 7-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.2) Other @ 3.91% Total : 87.06%	1-1 @ 4.32% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.26) Other @ 0.44% Total : 9.09%	0-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.13) Other @ 1.24% Total : 3.83%