Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8

Dec 19, 2024 at 5pm UK

Estadio da Madeira

Nacional
0 - 2
Benfica

Gomes (45+2'), Soumare (67')

FT(HT: 0-0)

di Maria (59' pen., 74')
Pavlidis (16'), Bah (45+3'), di Maria (62'), Barreiro (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Nacional 1-0 Moreirense
Saturday, December 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: AVS 1-1 Benfica
Sunday, December 15 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 70.19%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 12.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Nacional win it was 2-1 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Benfica
12.46% ( 0.3)	17.34% ( 0.11)	70.19% ( -0.4)

Both teams to score 53.76% (

0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.54% (

0.28)

36.46% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.39% (

0.31)

58.6% (

-0.3)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.27% (

0.66)

40.73% (

-0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.69% (

0.59)

77.31% (

-0.58)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.71% (

-0.02)

9.29% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.63% (

-0.05)

31.37% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Nacional 12.46%

Benfica 70.19%

Draw 17.34%

Nacional	Draw	Benfica
2-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.54% Total : 12.46%	1-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.34%	0-2 @ 10.68% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 8.46% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 7.6% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 5.03% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 4.51% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.07) 0-5 @ 2.39% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 2.15% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.04) 2-5 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) 0-6 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.44% Total : 70.19%