Primeira Liga Gameweek 8
Nacional
Dec 19, 2024 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio da Madeira
Benfica
  • Jose Gomes 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Djibril Soumare 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vangelis Pavlidis 16'
  • yellowcard Alexander Bah 45'+3'
  • goal Angel di Maria 59'
  • yellowcard Angel di Maria 62'
  • goal Angel di Maria 74'
  • yellowcard Leandro Barreiro 84'

Nacional vs Benfica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Last game
Dec 14, 2024 6.00pm
Nacional 1 - 0 Moreirense
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Daniel Penha

Benfica

All competitions
Last game
Dec 15, 2024 6.00pm
AVS 1 - 1 Benfica
Goals scored
84
Top scorer
Vangelis Pavlidis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 70.19%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 12.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Nacional win it was 2-1 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.

Result

Nacional 12.46% ▲ (+0.30)
Draw 17.34% ▲ (+0.11)
Benfica 70.19% ▼ (-0.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.76% ▲ (+0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.54% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 2.5 36.46% ▼ (-0.28)
Over 3.5 41.39% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 3.5 58.6% ▼ (-0.31)
Over 4.5 23.27% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 4.5 76.73% ▼ (-0.25)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 59.27% ▲ (+0.66)
Under 0.5 40.73% ▼ (-0.66)
Over 1.5 22.69% ▲ (+0.59)
Under 1.5 77.31% ▼ (-0.59)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5 90.71% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 9.29% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 68.63% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 31.37% ▲ (+0.06)

Score analysis

Nacional 12.46%
Draw 17.34%
Benfica 70.19%
Nacional
2-1 @ 3.63% ▲ (+0.08)
1-0 @ 3.4% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 12.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.08% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.31% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 3.79% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-97.48)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 17.34%
Benfica
0-2 @ 10.68% ▼ (-0.17)
1-2 @ 9.6% ▲ (+0.03)
0-1 @ 8.99% ▼ (-0.14)
0-3 @ 8.46% ▼ (-0.15)
1-3 @ 7.6% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 5.03% ▼ (-0.09)
1-4 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.07)
0-5 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.05)
1-5 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 5.35%
Total : 70.19%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 32
Nacional
May 11, 2021 6.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT
Benfica
  • Pedrao 8' goal
  • Joao Vigario 60' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chiquinho 34'
  • yellowcard Gilberto 55'
  • goal Pedrao 78' (OG)
  • yellowcard Alex Grimaldo 80'
  • goal Goncalo Ramos 81'
  • goal Goncalo Ramos 86'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 15
Benfica
Jan 25, 2021 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Nacional
  • Chiquinho 14' goal
  • Jardel 71' yellowcard
  • goal Bryan Rochez 48'
  • yellowcard Pedrao 80'
  • yellowcard Ruben Micael 90'+2'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Benfica
Feb 10, 2019 5.30pm
10
0
HT : 3 0
FT Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica (da Luz) (Lisboa)
Nacional
  • Alex Grimaldo 1' goal
  • Andreas Samaris 20' yellowcard
  • Haris Seferovic 21' goal
  • Haris Seferovic 27' goal
  • Joao Felix 50' goal
  • Pizzi 54' goal
  • Francisco Ferreira 56' goal
  • Ruben Dias 64' goal
  • Jonas 85' goal
  • Rafa Silva 88' goal
  • Jonas 90' goal
Primeira Liga Gameweek 4
Nacional
Sep 2, 2018 6.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Estádio da Madeira (Funchal (Ilha da Madeira))
Benfica
  • Sergio Marakis 34' yellowcard
  • goal Haris Seferovic 28'
  • goal Eduardo Salvio 45'
  • yellowcard Alfa Semedo 49'
  • yellowcard Jardel 51'
  • yellowcard Franco Cervi 68'
  • goal Alex Grimaldo 76'
  • goal Rafa Silva 93'
Primeira Liga
Benfica
Feb 5, 2017 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Nacional
  • Jonas 26' goal
  • Jonas 33' yellowcard
  • Jonas 35' goal
  • Ederson 59' yellowcard
  • Konstantinos Mitroglou 81' goal
  • yellowcard Washington 34'
  • yellowcard Dejan Mezga 43'
  • yellowcard Tiago Rodrigues 52'
  • yellowcard Zequinha 56'
  • yellowcard Rui Correia 60'
Primeira Liga
Nacional
Aug 27, 2016 8.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Benfica
  • Tobias Figueiredo 63' goal
  • Vitor Goncalves 86' yellowcard
  • goal Ali Ghazal 17' (OG)
  • yellowcard Andre Horta 31'
  • yellowcard Pizzi 63'
  • goal Andre Carillo 69'
  • yellowcard Nelson Semedo 73'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Salvio 91'
  • goal Raul Jimenez 92'

Form Data

Nacional 1 - 0 Moreirense
Gil Vicente 2 - 1 Nacional
Nacional 0 - 0 Boavista
Estrela Amadora 2 - 0 Nacional
Nacional 2 - 0 Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 1 Nacional
AVS 1 - 1 Benfica
Benfica 0 - 0 Bologna
Benfica 1 - 0 Guimaraes
Arouca 0 - 2 Benfica
Monaco 2 - 3 Benfica
Benfica 7 - 0 Estrela Amadora

Build-up

Match Preview