/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fnaclog.png)
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Matheus Dias
11'
-
Antonio Jorge Rocha Simao
82'
-
Pedro Injai Gomes
20'
-
Joel Silva
47'
-
Tiago Margarido
67'
Nacional vs Boavista - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F45%2Fboavista.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result
Nacional
39.69%
▲
(+0.32)
Draw
25.39%
▲
(+0.07)
Boavista
34.92%
▼
(-0.38)
Both Teams to Score:
56.17%
▼
(-0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5
52.38%
▼
(-0.34)
Under 2.5
47.62%
▲
(+0.34)
Over 3.5
30.18%
▼
(-0.32)
Under 3.5
69.82%
▲
(+0.32)
Over 4.5
14.8%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 4.5
85.2%
▲
(+0.23)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5
76.27%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
23.73%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
42.14%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
57.86%
▼
(-0.02)
Boavista Goals
Over 0.5
73.64%
▼
(-0.39)
Under 0.5
26.36%
▲
(+0.39)
Over 1.5
38.5%
▼
(-0.52)
Under 1.5
61.5%
▲
(+0.52)
Score analysis
Nacional
39.69%
Draw
25.38%
Boavista
34.92%
Nacional
1-0
@
9%
▲
(+0.14)
2-1 @ 8.63% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.47% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 4.14% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 39.69%
2-1 @ 8.63% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.47% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 4.14% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 39.69%
Draw
1-1
@
11.99%
▲
(+0.05)
0-0 @ 6.25% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.75% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
0-0 @ 6.25% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.75% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
Boavista
0-1
@
8.34%
▲
(+0.03)
1-2 @ 8% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 5.56% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.05)
1-4 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 34.92%
1-2 @ 8% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 5.56% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.05)
1-4 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 34.92%
Head to Head
-
Kalindi
26'
-
Brayan Riascos
28'
-
Joao Victor
36'
-
Ruben Freitas
55'
-
Vincent Thill
82'
-
Joao Camacho
90'+1'
-
Bryan Rochez
90'+5'
-
Gustavo Sauer
19'
-
Nuno Santos
22'
-
Ricardo Mangas
45'+2'
-
Gustavo Sauer
61'
-
Angel Gomes
64'
-
Chidozie Awaziem
90'+4'