Taca de Portugal | Third Round

Oct 20, 2024 at 6.45pm UK

Estadio Varzim Sport Club

Varzim
1 - 0
Boavista

Moshood (51')
Pacheco (45+2'), Rego (53'), Henrique Ferreira Oliveira (68')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Injai Gomes (38'), Camara (65')

Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Varzim and Boavista.

Form, Standings, Stats

Varzim

Last Game: Varzim 0-2 Benfica
Tuesday, January 10 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Boavista

All competitions

Last Game: Guimaraes 2-2 Boavista
Sunday, October 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varzim win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Varzim win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Varzim in this match.

Result
Varzim	Draw	Boavista
44.98% ( -0.24)	25.92% ( 0.08)	29.1% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 52.21% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.26% (

-0.23)

51.74% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.49% (

-0.2)

73.51% (

0.2)

Varzim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.06% (

-0.21)

22.94% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.29% (

-0.31)

56.71% (

0.31)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.75% (

32.25% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.25% (

68.75% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Varzim 44.98%

Boavista 29.11%

Draw 25.91%

Varzim	Draw	Boavista
1-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 44.98%	1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.91%	0-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.67% Total : 29.11%