Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14

Dec 15, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio Clube Desportivo das Aves

AVS
1 - 1
Benfica

Castro (90+4')
Castro (45+1'), Fonseca (74')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Amdouni (17')
Cabral (39'), Beste (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between AVS and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AVS

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Casa Pia 1-1 AVS
Sunday, December 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Benfica 0-0 Bologna
Wednesday, December 11 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 75.93%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for AVS had a probability of 8.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.3%) and 0-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.25%), while for an AVS win it was 1-0 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
AVS	Draw	Benfica
8.81% ( -0.09)	15.27% ( -0.22)	75.93% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 47.44% (

0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.45% (

0.75)

37.55% (

-0.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.22% (

0.8)

59.78% (

-0.79)

AVS Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.72% (

0.31)

48.28% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.57% (

0.23)

83.44% (

-0.22)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.74% (

0.25)

8.27% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.13% (

0.61)

28.88% (

-0.61)

Score Analysis

AVS 8.81%

Benfica 75.92%

Draw 15.27%

AVS	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.21% Total : 8.81%	1-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.74% Total : 15.27%	0-2 @ 12.4% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 10.3% 0-1 @ 9.95% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 7.5% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 6.42% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 4.68% ( 0.09) 0-5 @ 3.2% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.05) 1-5 @ 2.33% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.05) 0-6 @ 1.33% ( 0.05) 1-6 @ 0.97% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.36% Total : 75.92%