Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16

Dec 28, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Clube Desportivo das Aves

AVS
1 - 1
Estrela Amadora

Roux (52')
Castro (35'), Mercado (87')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Cordeiro (8')
Ruiz (35'), Varela (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between AVS and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AVS

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Boavista 0-0 AVS
Saturday, December 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 1-0 Rio Ave
Monday, December 23 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AVS win with a probability of 48.82%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 25.22%.

The most likely scoreline for an AVS win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
AVS	Draw	Estrela Amadora
48.82% ( -0.07)	25.96% ( 0.04)	25.22% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 49.19% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.72% (

-0.14)

54.28% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.33% (

-0.12)

75.67% (

0.12)

AVS Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.74% (

-0.09)

22.26% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.3% (

-0.13)

55.7% (

0.13)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.27% (

-0.05)

36.73% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.48% (

-0.05)

73.52% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

AVS 48.82%

Estrela Amadora 25.22%

Draw 25.95%

AVS	Draw	Estrela Amadora
1-0 @ 12.28% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.23% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.03% Total : 48.82%	1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.95%	0-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.16% 0-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 25.22%