Primeira Liga Gameweek 16
Dec 28, 2024 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Clube Desportivo das Aves
  • Cristian Castro 35' yellowcard
  • Baptiste Roux 52' goal
  • John Mercado 87' yellowcard
  • goal Leo Cordeiro 8'
  • yellowcard Alan Ruiz 35'
  • yellowcard Nilton Varela 48'

AVS vs Estrela Amadora - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AVS

All competitions
Last game
Dec 21, 2024 6.00pm
Boavista 0 - 0 AVS
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
John Mercado

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last game
Dec 23, 2024 8.45pm
Estrela Amadora 1 - 0 Rio Ave
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Kikas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AVS win with a probability of 48.82%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 25.22%.

The most likely scoreline for an AVS win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

AVS 48.82% (-0.07)
Draw 25.96% (+0.05)
Estrela Amadora 25.22% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.19% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.72% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 54.28% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 24.33% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 75.67% (+0.12)
Over 4.5 10.94% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 89.06% (+0.08)

AVS Goals

Over 0.5 77.74% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 22.26% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 44.3% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 55.7% (+0.14)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5 63.27% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 36.73% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 26.48% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 73.52% (+0.06)

Score analysis

AVS 48.82%
Draw 25.95%
Estrela Amadora 25.22%
AVS
1-0 @ 12.28% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.24% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 9.23% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.63% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.62% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.74% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.74% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 48.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.3% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 8.17% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 25.95%
Estrela Amadora
0-1 @ 8.19% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 6.16%
0-2 @ 4.1% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.06% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.37% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 25.22%