Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17

Jan 3, 2025 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
4 - 4
Sporting Lisbon

Silva (7'), Cesar (69'), Mendes (82'), Ndembo-Michel (85')
Samu (9'), Mendes (56'), Rivas (89'), Arcanjo (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Gyokeres (2', 14', 57'), Trincao (90+5')
Morita (18'), Gyokeres (75'), Araujo (81'), St Juste (84'), Fresneda (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Farense 2-2 Guimaraes
Sunday, December 29 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 1-0 Benfica
Sunday, December 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 48.6%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
26.84% ( 1.44)	24.56% ( 0.14)	48.6% ( -1.59)

Both teams to score 54.92% (

0.87)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.56% (

0.52)

47.44% (

-0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.34% (

0.48)

69.65% (

-0.48)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.28% (

1.44)

31.72% (

-1.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.86% (

1.62)

68.13% (

-1.62)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.43% (

-0.44)

19.57% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.5% (

-0.72)

51.49% (

0.72)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 26.84%

Sporting Lisbon 48.6%

Draw 24.55%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.74% Total : 26.84%	1-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.55%	0-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.37) 1-2 @ 9.48% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 8.26% ( -0.42) 1-3 @ 5.16% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 4.49% ( -0.29) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.15) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 2.99% Total : 48.6%