Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.69%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 16.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.34%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.