Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.69%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 16.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.34%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 16.65% ( | 20.66% ( | 62.69% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.09% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.22% ( | 42.77% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.82% ( | 65.18% ( |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.06% ( | 38.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.33% ( | 75.66% ( |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.95% ( | 13.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.38% ( | 39.62% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 4.79% ( 2-1 @ 4.6% ( 2-0 @ 2.26% ( 3-2 @ 1.47% ( 3-1 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 2.07% Total : 16.65% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( 0-0 @ 5.08% ( 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 3-3 @ 1% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.66% | 0-2 @ 10.53% ( 0-1 @ 10.34% ( 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0-3 @ 7.15% ( 1-3 @ 6.75% ( 0-4 @ 3.64% ( 1-4 @ 3.44% ( 2-3 @ 3.18% ( 2-4 @ 1.62% ( 0-5 @ 1.48% ( 1-5 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 3.21% Total : 62.68% |