Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13

Dec 5, 2024 at 8.15pm UK

Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Moreirense
2 - 1
Sporting Lisbon

Pinto (19'), Schettine (35')
Marcelo (9'), Ramos (81'), Kewin (86')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Gyokeres (12' pen.)
Inacio (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Rio Ave 3-2 Moreirense
Saturday, November 30 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 0-1 Santa Clara
Saturday, November 30 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 79%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 6.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.72%) and 0-3 (12.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.79%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Moreirense	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
6.4% ( -0.33)	14.6% ( -0.24)	79% ( 0.57)

Both teams to score 37.62% (

-0.99)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.31% (

-0.24)

43.69% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.92% (

-0.23)

66.08% (

0.24)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

41.35% (

-1.12)

58.65% (

1.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.05% (

-0.61)

89.94% (

0.61)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.98% (

0.08)

9.02% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.28% (

0.19)

30.72% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Moreirense 6.4%

Sporting Lisbon 78.98%

Draw 14.6%

Moreirense	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.77% Total : 6.4%	1-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.34% Total : 14.6%	0-2 @ 15.3% ( 0.27) 0-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 12.27% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.15) 0-4 @ 7.38% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 6.55% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 3.94% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 3.55% ( 0.1) 1-5 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.09) 0-6 @ 1.43% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.97% Total : 78.98%