Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14

Dec 14, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Jose Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon
3 - 2
Boavista

Gyokeres (23'), Trincao (49', 66')
Reis (39'), Araujo (80'), Hjulmand (86')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Bozenik (43'), Onyemaechi (58')
Abascal (59'), Onyemaechi (75'), Perez (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Brugge 2-1 Sporting Lisbon
Tuesday, December 10 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Boavista

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Boavista 1-1 Farense
Sunday, December 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 78.59%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 7.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.24%) and 1-0 (10.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.71%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Boavista
78.59% ( 0.02)	14.11% ( -0.01)	7.3% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 44.35% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.43%

37.57% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.2%

59.8% (

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.31% (

7.69% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.58% (

0.01)

27.42% (

-0.01)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.05% (

-0.02)

51.95% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.02% (

-0.02)

85.98% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 78.58%

Boavista 7.3%

Draw 14.11%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Boavista
2-0 @ 13.14% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 11.24% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.24% 2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.36% ( -0) 4-0 @ 7.21% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.72% 5-0 @ 3.7% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.58% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 3.37% Total : 78.58%	1-1 @ 6.71% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4% ( 0) 2-2 @ 2.82% ( -0) Other @ 0.59% Total : 14.11%	0-1 @ 2.62% ( -0) 1-2 @ 2.2% ( -0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 7.3%