Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | SC Farense |
| 40.8% ( | 27.53% ( | 31.67% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.5% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.95% ( | 57.05% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.06% ( | 77.94% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.55% ( | 27.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.06% ( | 62.94% ( |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.85% ( | 33.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.25% ( | 69.75% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | SC Farense |
| 1-0 @ 11.76% ( 2-1 @ 8.4% ( 2-0 @ 7.6% ( 3-1 @ 3.62% ( 3-0 @ 3.28% ( 3-2 @ 2% ( 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 4-0 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 1.92% Total : 40.8% | 1-1 @ 12.98% ( 0-0 @ 9.1% ( 2-2 @ 4.64% ( Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.52% | 0-1 @ 10.04% ( 1-2 @ 7.17% ( 0-2 @ 5.55% ( 1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 2-3 @ 1.71% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 31.66% |