Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14

Dec 14, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio de Sao Luis

Farense
0 - 1
Gil Vicente

Silva (51'), Neto (69'), Soares (90+10')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Africo (47' og.)
Sa (20'), Garcia Gonzalez (90+11')
Caue (90+13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SC Farense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Boavista 1-1 Farense
Sunday, December 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Gil Vicente 2-1 Nacional
Saturday, December 7 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 47.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 25.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.34%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-0 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gil Vicente in this match.

Result
SC Farense	Draw	Gil Vicente
25.37% ( 0.07)	26.73%	47.9% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 47.13% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.98% (

0.06)

57.02% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.09% (

0.05)

77.91% (

-0.04)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.89% (

0.09)

38.11% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.12% (

0.09)

74.88% (

-0.09)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.16%

23.85% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.97% (

-0)

58.03% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

SC Farense 25.37%

Gil Vicente 47.89%

Draw 26.72%

SC Farense	Draw	Gil Vicente
1-0 @ 8.77% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.61% Total : 25.37%	1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.72%	0-1 @ 13.02% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 9.34% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.01% 0-3 @ 4.46% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.31% 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.54% Total : 47.89%