Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16

Dec 29, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Jose Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon
1 - 0
Benfica

Catamo (29')
Reis (59'), Israel (63')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Otamendi (34'), Bah (58'), Araujo (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-0 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, December 22 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Estoril
Monday, December 23 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Benfica win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Benfica
42.75% ( 0)	24.97%	32.28% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 56.86% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.61%

46.39% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.32% (

68.67% (

-0)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.3% (

21.7% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.14% (

54.86% (

-0.01)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.63% (

-0)

27.37% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.16% (

-0)

62.84% (

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 42.75%

Benfica 32.28%

Draw 24.96%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 9.08% 2-1 @ 8.98% 2-0 @ 6.93% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.53% 3-2 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.35% 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 42.75%	1-1 @ 11.75% 0-0 @ 5.94% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.82% 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.96%	0-1 @ 7.7% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.99% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 2.51% 0-3 @ 2.15% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 32.28%