Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15

Dec 23, 2024 at 6.45pm UK

Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
2 - 2
Nacional

Silva (24' pen.), Santos (49')
Handel (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Aguiar Tomich (9'), Aurelio (90+3')
Vitor (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Guimaraes 1-1 Fiorentina
Thursday, December 19 at 8pm in Conference League

Goals
for

Nacional

All competitions

Last Game: Nacional 0-2 Benfica
Thursday, December 19 at 5pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 67.94%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 11.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.59%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Nacional
67.94% ( -0.15)	20.09% ( 0.26)	11.97% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 42.93% (

-1.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.98% (

-1.35)

50.02% (

1.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28% (

-1.21)

72% (

1.2)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.26% (

-0.46)

13.74% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.98% (

-0.92)

41.01% (

0.91)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.76% (

-1.05)

50.23% (

1.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.18% (

-0.73)

84.82% (

0.73)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 67.93%

Nacional 11.97%

Draw 20.09%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Nacional
1-0 @ 13.7% ( 0.51) 2-0 @ 13.59% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 9% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.37% Total : 67.93%	1-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.53% Total : 20.09%	0-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 11.97%