Conference League
Dec 19, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • Gustavo 33' goal
  • Gustavo 42' yellowcard
  • Tiago Silva 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Manu Silva 50' yellowcard
  • Bruno Varela 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Christian Kouame 66'
  • yellowcard Rui Manuel Gomes Borges 75'
  • goal Rolando Mandragora 87'
  • yellowcard Raffaele Palladino 89'

Vitoria de Guimaraes vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Dec 12, 2024 8.00pm
St Gallen 1 - 4 Guimaraes

Fiorentina

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Dec 12, 2024 5.45pm
Fiorentina 7 - 0 LASK

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Vitoria de Guimaraes 42.07% (-0.48)
Draw 27.49% (-0.01)
Fiorentina 30.44% (+0.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.17% (+0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.75% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 57.26% (-0.20)
Over 3.5 21.9% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 78.1% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 9.45% (+0.10)
Under 4.5 90.55% (-0.09)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5 73.14% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 26.86% (+0.17)
Over 1.5 37.83% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 62.17% (+0.22)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 65.86% (+0.48)
Under 0.5 34.14% (-0.47)
Over 1.5 29.17% (+0.51)
Under 1.5 70.83% (-0.50)

Score analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 42.07%
Draw 27.48%
Fiorentina 30.44%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 12.05% (-0.15)
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 7.92% (-0.14)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.47% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.01% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.04)
Other @ 2%
Total : 42.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.95% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.17% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 4.58% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.48%
Fiorentina
0-1 @ 9.86% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 6.96% (+0.10)
0-2 @ 5.3% (+0.10)
1-3 @ 2.49% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 1.9% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.64% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 30.44%