Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 51.33%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Como had a probability of 23.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Como win it was 1-0 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Como | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 23.89% ( | 24.77% ( | 51.33% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.39% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.27% ( | 50.72% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.37% ( | 72.62% ( |
| Como Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.04% ( | 35.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.27% ( | 72.73% ( |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.24% ( | 19.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.2% ( | 51.79% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Como | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 7.27% ( 2-1 @ 6.03% ( 2-0 @ 3.72% ( 3-1 @ 2.06% ( 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 3-0 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 1.9% Total : 23.89% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 3-3 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.77% | 0-1 @ 11.51% ( 1-2 @ 9.56% ( 0-2 @ 9.34% ( 1-3 @ 5.17% ( 0-3 @ 5.05% ( 2-3 @ 2.64% ( 1-4 @ 2.09% ( 0-4 @ 2.05% ( 2-4 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.85% Total : 51.32% |