Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 10

Oct 31, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
0 - 1
Fiorentina

Pinamonti (2'), Vogliacco (78'), Vasquez (90+2'), Matturro (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gosens (72')
Richardson (6'), Martinez (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lazio 3-0 Genoa
Sunday, October 27 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 5-1 Roma
Sunday, October 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 57.59%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 19.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.5%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-0 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fiorentina in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Fiorentina
19.38% ( -0.95)	23.03% ( -0.5)	57.59% ( 1.45)

Both teams to score 50.63% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.33% (

0.82)

48.67% (

-0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.21% (

0.74)

70.78% (

-0.75)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.73% (

-0.54)

39.27% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.03% (

-0.51)

75.97% (

0.51)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.36% (

0.81)

16.64% (

-0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.52% (

1.44)

46.48% (

-1.44)

Score Analysis

Genoa 19.38%

Fiorentina 57.58%

Draw 23.03%

Genoa	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.3) 2-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.27% Total : 19.38%	1-1 @ 10.95% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.95% Total : 23.03%	0-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 10.5% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 9.82% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 6.28% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 5.87% ( 0.19) 0-4 @ 2.82% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 2.63% ( 0.15) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.05) 0-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.1) 1-5 @ 0.94% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.01% Total : 57.58%