Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Como |
| 31.38% ( | 27.39% ( | 41.24% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.81% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.4% ( | 56.6% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.42% ( | 77.58% ( |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.88% ( | 33.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.28% ( | 69.72% ( |
| Como Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.99% ( | 27.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.64% ( | 62.36% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Genoa | Draw | Como |
| 1-0 @ 9.88% ( 2-1 @ 7.15% ( 2-0 @ 5.46% ( 3-1 @ 2.63% ( 3-0 @ 2.01% ( 3-2 @ 1.72% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 31.38% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( 0-0 @ 8.95% ( 2-2 @ 4.68% ( Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.38% | 0-1 @ 11.71% ( 1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0-2 @ 7.67% ( 1-3 @ 3.7% ( 0-3 @ 3.35% ( 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0-4 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.01% Total : 41.24% |