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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Nov 7, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
1 - 1
Como

Vogliacco (90+2')
Caricol (32'), Vogliacco (61'), Balotelli (79'), Vasquez (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Da Cunha (17')
Goldaniga (61'), Moreno (73'), Kempf (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Como, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Parma 0-1 Genoa
Monday, November 4 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 1-0 Como
Monday, November 4 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
GenoaDrawComo
31.38% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)27.39% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)41.24% (0.067 0.07)
Both teams to score 48.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)56.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)77.58% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.88% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)33.12% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.28% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)69.72% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.99% (0.039999999999992 0.04)27.01% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.64% (0.050999999999995 0.05)62.36% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Genoa 31.38%
    Como 41.24%
    Draw 27.38%
GenoaDrawComo
1-0 @ 9.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.63% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.01% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 31.38%
1-1 @ 12.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.38%
0-1 @ 11.71% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.47% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.67% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.7% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.35% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.21% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 41.24%

How you voted: Genoa vs Como

Genoa
67.6%
Draw
21.1%
Como
11.3%
71
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 32
Como
2-2
Genoa
Cutrone (62'), Mancuso (88')
Strootman (23'), Coda (57')
Nov 13, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 13
Genoa
1-1
Como
Coda (17' pen.)
Cerri (67')
rhs 2.0


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