Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 53.55%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 22.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Parma | Draw | Genoa |
| 53.55% ( | 24.17% ( | 22.28% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.34% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.15% ( | 49.85% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.15% ( | 71.84% ( |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.45% ( | 18.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.21% ( | 49.79% ( |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.03% ( | 36.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.24% ( | 73.75% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Parma | Draw | Genoa |
| 1-0 @ 11.55% ( 2-0 @ 9.73% ( 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 3-0 @ 5.47% ( 3-1 @ 5.44% ( 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 4-0 @ 2.3% ( 4-1 @ 2.29% ( 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.23% Total : 53.55% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0-0 @ 6.85% ( 2-2 @ 4.82% ( Other @ 1% Total : 24.16% | 0-1 @ 6.82% ( 1-2 @ 5.72% ( 0-2 @ 3.39% ( 1-3 @ 1.9% ( 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0-3 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 1.72% Total : 22.28% |