Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 53.55%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 22.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.