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Serie A | Gameweek 11
Nov 4, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani

Empoli
1 - 0
Como

Pellegri (47')
Cacace (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Como, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Empoli 0-3 Inter Milan
Wednesday, October 30 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Como 1-5 Lazio
Thursday, October 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
EmpoliDrawComo
30.37% (-0.259 -0.26)27.66% (-0.445 -0.45)41.96% (0.699 0.7)
Both teams to score 47.63% (1.149 1.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.08% (1.497 1.5)57.91% (-1.499 -1.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.38% (1.164 1.16)78.62% (-1.167 -1.17)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.46% (0.604 0.6)34.54% (-0.606 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.74% (0.638 0.64)71.26% (-0.64100000000001 -0.64)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.77% (1.094 1.09)27.23% (-1.095 -1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.35% (1.403 1.4)62.64% (-1.405 -1.41)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 30.37%
    Como 41.96%
    Draw 27.66%
EmpoliDrawComo
1-0 @ 10% (-0.403 -0.4)
2-1 @ 6.91% (0.047 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.31% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-1 @ 2.45% (0.056 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.88% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.59% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 30.37%
1-1 @ 13% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 9.4% (-0.55 -0.55)
2-2 @ 4.5% (0.167 0.17)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.66%
0-1 @ 12.23% (-0.32 -0.32)
1-2 @ 8.46% (0.177 0.18)
0-2 @ 7.96% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.67% (0.186 0.19)
0-3 @ 3.45% (0.121 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.129 0.13)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.094 0.09)
0-4 @ 1.12% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 41.96%

How you voted: Empoli vs Como

Empoli
46.2%
Draw
38.5%
Como
15.4%
104