Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Como |
| 30.37% ( | 27.66% ( | 41.96% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.63% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.08% ( | 57.91% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.38% ( | 78.62% ( |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.46% ( | 34.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.74% ( | 71.26% ( |
| Como Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.77% ( | 27.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.35% ( | 62.64% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Empoli | Draw | Como |
| 1-0 @ 10% ( 2-1 @ 6.91% ( 2-0 @ 5.31% ( 3-1 @ 2.45% ( 3-0 @ 1.88% ( 3-2 @ 1.59% ( Other @ 2.22% Total : 30.37% | 1-1 @ 13% ( 0-0 @ 9.4% ( 2-2 @ 4.5% ( Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.66% | 0-1 @ 12.23% ( 1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0-2 @ 7.96% ( 1-3 @ 3.67% ( 0-3 @ 3.45% ( 2-3 @ 1.95% ( 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0-4 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 1.92% Total : 41.96% |