Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 11

Nov 3, 2024 at 2pm UK

Allianz Stadium

Torino
0 - 1
Fiorentina

Ilic (67'), Ricci (74')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kean (41')
Bove (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Torino and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Torino

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Torino
Thursday, October 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Genoa 0-1 Fiorentina
Thursday, October 31 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 52.78%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Torino had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Torino win it was 1-0 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fiorentina in this match.

Result
Torino	Draw	Fiorentina
22.3% ( -0.09)	24.92% ( -0.39)	52.78% ( 0.49)

Both teams to score 49.11% (

1.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.18% (

1.41)

52.82% (

-1.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.56% (

1.19)

74.44% (

-1.19)

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.38% (

0.7)

38.62% (

-0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.64% (

0.66)

75.36% (

-0.66)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.01% (

0.76)

19.99% (

-0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.83% (

1.21)

52.17% (

-1.21)

Score Analysis

Torino 22.3%

Fiorentina 52.77%

Draw 24.92%

Torino	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 1.5% Total : 22.3%	1-1 @ 11.82% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.44) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.85% Total : 24.92%	0-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.41) 0-2 @ 10% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 9.52% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 5.37% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 5.11% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.13) 0-4 @ 2.16% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 2.06% ( 0.12) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.73% Total : 52.77%