Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 70.1%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 11.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.63%) and 3-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Empoli
70.1% ( 1.56)	18.76% ( -0.35)	11.14% ( -1.22)

Both teams to score 44.39% (

-2.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.47% (

-1.55)

46.53% (

1.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.19% (

-1.48)

68.8% (

1.47)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.93% (

-0.02)

12.07% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.41% (

-0.04)

37.59% (

0.03)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.48% (

-3.1)

49.51% (

3.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.68% (

-2.28)

84.32% (

2.28)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 70.09%

Empoli 11.14%

Draw 18.76%

Fiorentina	Draw	Empoli
2-0 @ 13.36% ( 0.84) 1-0 @ 12.63% ( 0.8) 3-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.58) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.31) 4-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.28) 5-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.13) 5-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.06% Total : 70.09%	1-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.39) Other @ 0.6% Total : 18.76%	0-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.37) 0-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.35% Total : 11.14%