Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 70.1%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 11.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.63%) and 3-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.